Maya Joint vs Leylah Fernandez
Montreal | Hard | Round of 128
29 Jul 2025, 16:30
29 Jul 2025, 16:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maya … | Leylah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maya Joint
Ranking
#32
UTR Rating
12.18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#59
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
44/72 = 61.1%
Leylah Fernandez
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12.56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
44/74 = 59.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -10.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.6875 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.3747 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -282.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -19.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.1262 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.5520 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9730 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61.1915 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61.0653 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.5263 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 72.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4.3317 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.7391 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.1186 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6.4325 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4.4152 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.1489 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -70.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -41.6200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -7.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.4359 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8798 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.5881 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.0003 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.0473 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1219 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1007 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5365 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.0719 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
7547
API ID
14284772
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Montreal
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7547,
"api_id": 14284772,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maya Joint",
"player2": "Leylah Fernandez",
"tournament": "Montreal",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-07-29T16:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 59,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 72,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.56,
"utr_ranking": 17,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 59,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -282,
"best_rank_diff": -19,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.126223045122984,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.972972972972973,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"p1_surface_matches": 72,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2222222222222222,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.331693237777529,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.739087714481805,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.1186138641043186,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.432451612903229,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.41521015785861,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.14886676988396,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -69.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -41.62,
"current_streak_diff": -7,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4358974358974359,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8798283261802575,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.588087955597569,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.000260529467045,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.047294948176129704,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12191489361702124,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10065266316579136,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3800000000000008,
"utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.5364705882352941,
"utr_advantage": -3.0719482619240157,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
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}
}