Matias Soto vs Hugo Grenier
Porto, Portugal | Hard | Round of 16
30 Jul 2025, 14:00
30 Jul 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matias … | Hugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matias Soto
Ranking
#389
UTR Rating
13,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#482
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Hard
2/11 = 18,2%
Hugo Grenier
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
14,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
36/60 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -210,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4602 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7762 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -205,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -145,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -31,3780 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18,3277 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2564 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 28,5167 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,5041 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 117,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,9654 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,5474 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,9838 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,2371 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,9732 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,5434 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,5550 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7963 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2857 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5532 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6503 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4187 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 24,3554 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0048 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1111 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7647 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,8023 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7569
API ID
14266900
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Porto, Portugal
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7569,
"api_id": 14266900,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matias Soto",
"player2": "Hugo Grenier",
"tournament": "Porto, Portugal",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-07-30T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 389,
"utr_singles": 13.82,
"utr_ranking": 482,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 18.181818181818183,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 14.5,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 482,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -0.7761935377776913,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -205,
"best_rank_diff": -145,
"surface_wr_diff": -31.377990430622006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.32766164316967,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 59.89473684210526,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.50413223140496,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 117,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.965382376395539,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.5473771929824665,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.9838277511961664,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.237101275917077,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.973168261563,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.5434210526315777,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.555,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7962962962962963,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5531914893617021,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.65031475985579,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.418693771542673,
"surface_rank_synergy": 24.35539340069904,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0048325358851675215,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1110526315789474,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.6799999999999997,
"utr_p1": 0.6847058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.7647058823529411,
"utr_advantage": -4.802259887005648,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}