Maria Sakkari vs Jessica Pegula
Montreal | Hard | Round of 64
30 Jul 2025, 20:15
30 Jul 2025, 20:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Jessica … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
12.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
30/58 = 51.7%
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
62/87 = 71.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -45.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1176 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2.1401 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3.0000 | |
| points_diff | -4467.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21.1115 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18.7168 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.5652 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70.6767 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51.6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70.3297 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.6965 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.0028 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.7159 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.2268 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.5100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.3098 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 38.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21.4650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6193 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9061 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.6316 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.1712 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 45.1800 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0407 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1618 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5624 | |
| utr_advantage | -4.7257 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7605
API ID
14266257
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Montreal
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"id": 7605,
"api_id": 14266257,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Sakkari",
"player2": "Jessica Pegula",
"tournament": "Montreal",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-07-30T20:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.19,
"utr_ranking": 58,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 51.724137931034484,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 58,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.78,
"utr_ranking": 7,
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"wr_surface": 71.26436781609196,
"wr_surface_wins": 62,
"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 58,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 7,
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -4467,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.11147433801895,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.716767103863887,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
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"surface_wr_p2": 70.6766917293233,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.32967032967034,
"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.69653834586466,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.002819221967954,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.7158535469107647,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.2268329519450774,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.5100457665903875,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3098136645962728,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": 38.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.465000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6192893401015228,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.906060606060606,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.631637290837729,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.171165426473981,
"surface_rank_synergy": 45.179951892314186,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04065217391304349,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1617669172932329,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_p2": 0.5623529411764705,
"utr_advantage": -4.725670804965958,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}