Elias Ymer vs Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto, Portugal | Hard | Round of 16
30 Jul 2025, 19:55
30 Jul 2025, 19:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elias … | Mikhail … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elias Ymer
Ranking
#175
UTR Rating
14,20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#284
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
56% (9p)
WR Hard
18/28 = 64,3%
Mikhail Kukushkin
Ranking
#262
UTR Rating
14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#201
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
16/37 = 43,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 87,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4971 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4036 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 134,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -66,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,2362 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,9963 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6848 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,9066 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 49,2537 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 63,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 92,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0159 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,9375 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,3813 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,9961 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,3221 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,8620 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,3228 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,6510 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,6993 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,4693 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,5167 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0256 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0861 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 6,2362 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7541 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4680 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7615
API ID
14266904
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Porto, Portugal
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7615,
"api_id": 14266904,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elias Ymer",
"player2": "Mikhail Kukushkin",
"tournament": "Porto, Portugal",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-07-30T15:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 175,
"utr_singles": 14.2,
"utr_ranking": 284,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 262,
"utr_singles": 14.41,
"utr_ranking": 201,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.24324324324324,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 284,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 201,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.4035585298375828,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 134,
"best_rank_diff": -66,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.236223236223246,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.996268656716417,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6847826086956522,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
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"surface_wr_p2": 49.9066339066339,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
"p1_surface_matches": 63,
"p2_surface_matches": 92,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.015873015873015872,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.937488557388555,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.381283257283258,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.996130923130913,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.32214601614602856,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.862004563004554,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.322843102843103,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.6510000000000105,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.699339047525616,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.469344960270643,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.5166810809492257,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.025571428571428467,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08606633906633898,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 6.236223236223246,
"utr_diff": -0.21000000000000085,
"utr_p1": 0.7294117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.7541176470588236,
"utr_advantage": -1.4680181754631307,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}