Daniil Medvedev vs Alexei Popyrin
Toronto | Hard | Round of 32
01 Aug 2025, 02:05
01 Aug 2025, 02:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniil … | Alexei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
15.94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
59/87 = 67.8%
Alexei Popyrin
Ranking
#54
UTR Rating
15.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#67
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/50 = 52.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 41.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4.1538 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.4240 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1760.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 18.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 23.8832 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15.1811 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.7400 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66.8717 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42.9885 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67.0330 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.8519 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3563 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.2443 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.2065 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5.1142 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5.8916 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9.1140 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.9409 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 26.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 29.1690 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8844 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1869 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6552 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.7302 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.2652 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 34.0105 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1277 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0291 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 47.7664 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8741 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.2515 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7629
API ID
14265547
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Toronto
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Daniil Medvedev",
"player2": "Alexei Popyrin",
"tournament": "Toronto",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-01T02:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"player_stats": {
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"best_rank_diff": 18,
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"p2_confidence": 1.0,
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"serve_quality_diff": -1.2442759961482608,
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"second_serve_won_diff": 5.114236296485899,
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"aces_per_match_diff": -1.940903938274765,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
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"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
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"match_load_p1": 4,
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"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.884375,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 7.730192222051516,
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"surface_rank_synergy": 34.010477320216765,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12771686108165425,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.029114942528735754,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 47.76636072207798,
"utr_diff": 0.5099999999999998,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
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"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
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"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
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"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
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"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
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"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
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