Madison Keys vs Clara Tauson
Montreal | Hard | Quarterfinals
06 Ago 2025, 02:00
06 Ago 2025, 02:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Madison … | Clara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Madison Keys
Ranking
#9
UTR Rating
12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Clara Tauson
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#34
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
24/37 = 64,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 5,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5556 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4418 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1581,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,4696 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,9522 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5176 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,5304 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,7978 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 85,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4091 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,9457 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,3410 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,7083 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,0801 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,6521 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,1438 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7643 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0295 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4483 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,6336 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,3384 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,8585 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1950 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1403 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 6,4696 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5165 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,8839 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7717
API ID
14266319
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Montreal
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7717,
"api_id": 14266319,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Madison Keys",
"player2": "Clara Tauson",
"tournament": "Montreal",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-08-05T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 9,
"utr_singles": 12.5,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 14,
"utr_singles": 12.39,
"utr_ranking": 34,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.86486486486487,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.5,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.39,
"ranking": 34,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.5555555555555556,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.44183275227903923,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 1581,
"best_rank_diff": 7,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.4695945945945965,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.952247191011239,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5176470588235295,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.5304054054054,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.79775280898876,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 85,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.945670608108109,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.340979729729725,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.708293918918912,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.0801351351351443,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.652094594594594,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.143834459459459,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7642857142857142,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.029535864978903,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4482758620689655,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.633592327576265,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.338428297987228,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.8584787858593255,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19499999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.140304054054054,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 6.4695945945945965,
"utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
"utr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.5164705882352942,
"utr_advantage": 0.8838891120932055,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}