Pablo Carreño Busta vs Leandro Riedi
Cincinnati | Hard | Qualification Round 1
05 Aug 2025, 16:35
05 Aug 2025, 16:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pablo … | Leandro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pablo Carreño Busta
Ranking
#89
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
33/52 = 63.5%
Leandro Riedi
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
14.65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#140
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
29/40 = 72.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 90.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.0112 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.6987 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 355.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 107.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10.0386 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7.9545 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.3000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62.8947 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72.9333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70.4545 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2692 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9.5916 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.9674 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.9399 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5.2284 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 13.6747 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3.7629 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.3500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 59.1837 | |
| momentum_diff | -9.1837 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.5218 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 36.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7118 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7273 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.3253 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.8907 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -7.0145 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0389 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.3193 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -10.0386 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7824 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7725
API ID
14350795
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7725,
"api_id": 14350795,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Pablo Carre\u00f1o Busta",
"player2": "Leandro Riedi",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-05T16:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
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"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.46153846153846,
"wr_surface_wins": 33,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 14.65,
"utr_ranking": 140,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
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"best_rank_diff": 107,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.038596491228063,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 72.93333333333332,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.45454545454545,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2692307692307692,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.591558395989985,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.9674105263158026,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.9398947368421062,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.228375939849627,
"bp_converted_diff": 13.674679699248117,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.7629423558897237,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.35,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 59.183673469387756,
"momentum_diff": -9.183673469387756,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.5218367346938777,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 36,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.711764705882353,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7272727272727273,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.3252660498590485,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.890664661860619,
"surface_rank_synergy": -7.01446363756753,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03894736842105251,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.31933333333333336,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -10.038596491228063,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.7823529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.7823529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}