Ella Seidel vs Varvara Lepchenko
Cincinnati | Hard | Qualification Round 1
05 Aug 2025, 14:30
05 Aug 2025, 14:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ella … | Varvara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ella Seidel
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
12.11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
39/62 = 62.9%
Varvara Lepchenko
Ranking
#147
UTR Rating
11.58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#215
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
31/55 = 56.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 61.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.7093 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.5361 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 335.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -65.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16.4305 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6.1890 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1273 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64.1447 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47.7143 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62.1212 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55.9322 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2581 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2.4941 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.7919 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.2750 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.2866 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.0345 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.5078 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 24.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 19.7050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 16.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.2353 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0741 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5833 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13.7632 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.4446 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8.8081 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0804 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0381 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 16.4305 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4212 | |
| utr_advantage | 4.4745 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
7740
API ID
14350916
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7740,
"api_id": 14350916,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ella Seidel",
"player2": "Varvara Lepchenko",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-05T14:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.903225806451616,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.58,
"utr_ranking": 215,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.36363636363636,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.5360852905252286,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 335,
"best_rank_diff": -65,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.430451127819552,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.1890087313816196,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1272727272727272,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.14473684210526,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.71428571428571,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.121212121212125,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.932203389830505,
"p1_surface_matches": 62,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25806451612903225,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.4941359022556426,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.791894736842103,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.27503947368420967,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.28664473684210634,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.034513157894736,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5078383458646618,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": 23.999999999999996,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 19.705,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0740740740740742,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5833333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.763172680080578,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.444577393533573,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.808123166317714,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08044736842105271,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.038142857142857034,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 16.430451127819552,
"utr_diff": 0.5299999999999994,
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"utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
"utr_advantage": 4.474461798227095,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
"utr_available": "0.0123"
}
}