Mariano Navone vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati | Hard | Qualification Round 1
06 Aug 2025, 18:30
06 Aug 2025, 18:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mariano … | Jan-Lennard … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#72
UTR Rating
15.34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/31 = 25.8%
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking
#84
UTR Rating
15.32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/45 = 40.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 12.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.1667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.1542 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 74.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -8.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13.6512 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12.2449 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6889 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 27.0168 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40.6680 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 28.5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40.8163 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 45.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.4839 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -13.8876 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6.9083 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.2931 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.4046 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.6560 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5.4107 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19.3510 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 14.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6602 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0771 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.1312 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.7002 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2.1043 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2418 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0813 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8612 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.1305 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7782
API ID
14350906
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7782,
"api_id": 14350906,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mariano Navone",
"player2": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-06T18:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 72,
"utr_singles": 15.34,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.806451612903224,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 84,
"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.34,
"ranking": 75,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 78,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.1666666666666667,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.15415067982725836,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 74,
"best_rank_diff": -8,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.651209471642908,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.244897959183675,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6888888888888889,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 40.66801619433198,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 28.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.816326530612244,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 45,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4838709677419355,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -13.887585734698746,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.908273568536728,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.293146327356851,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.4046240601503612,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.6559687680740254,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.410696424318716,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.351000000000013,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6601941747572816,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0771349862258952,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.1312196368841265,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.700245700245706,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.1043432205180626,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.24183193277310927,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08131983805668014,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.019999999999999574,
"utr_p1": 0.8635294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.8611764705882353,
"utr_advantage": 0.13046314416177152,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}