Sebastián Báez vs David Goffin
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 128
08 Aug 2025, 02:25
08 Aug 2025, 02:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastián … | David … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastián Báez
Ranking
#45
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
8/31 = 25.8%
David Goffin
Ranking
#119
UTR Rating
14.99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#99
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
45/82 = 54.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 74.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.6444 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.9725 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 630.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22.6850 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -26.0797 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.3780 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 23.8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46.5085 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 28.5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.6512 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 82.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.4839 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8.7224 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.8207 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.3146 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.7377 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6.3371 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3.3088 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11.6790 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 15.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8920 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4375 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.1237 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.3224 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -22.0603 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.3358 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0391 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -45.3700 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8224 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8224 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7825
API ID
14357971
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 14357971,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
"player2": "David Goffin",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-08T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
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"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.99,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": -11,
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"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 82,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4838709677419355,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.722362428842494,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.8206641366223693,
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"bp_saved_diff": 0.7377229601517996,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.33709677419354,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.3088235294117654,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
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"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.679000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 15,
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"match_load_p1": 0,
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"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.892,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.123722627242608,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.322423855779587,
"surface_rank_synergy": -22.060287087180573,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3357647058823531,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03908538899430747,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -45.37001897533207,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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}