Sebastián Báez vs David Goffin
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 128
08 Ago 2025, 06:25
08 Ago 2025, 06:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastián … | David … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastián Báez
Ranking
#36
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
3/14 = 21,4%
David Goffin
Ranking
#117
UTR Rating
14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#105
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/31 = 38,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 81,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,2500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1787 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 865,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22,6850 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -26,0797 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3780 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 23,8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,5085 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,6512 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 82,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4839 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,7224 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,8207 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,3146 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,7377 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,3371 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,3088 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,0790 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 15,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8920 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4375 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1237 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3224 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -26,7378 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3428 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0461 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -45,3700 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8059 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7825
API ID
14357971
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7825,
"api_id": 14357971,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
"player2": "David Goffin",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-08T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 36,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 21.428571428571427,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 117,
"utr_singles": 14.85,
"utr_ranking": 105,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.70967741935484,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.85,
"ranking": 105,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 81,
"rank_ratio": 3.25,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1786549963416462,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 865,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"surface_wr_diff": -22.685009487666036,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -26.0797342192691,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3780487804878049,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 23.823529411764703,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.50853889943074,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 28.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.65116279069767,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 82,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4838709677419355,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.722362428842494,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.8206641366223693,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.3146110056925906,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.7377229601517996,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.33709677419354,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.3088235294117654,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.079,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 15,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.892,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.123722627242608,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.322423855779587,
"surface_rank_synergy": -26.73779977469522,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.34276470588235297,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.046085388994307364,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -45.37001897533207,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.8058823529411764,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}