Federico Cinà vs Aslan Karatsev
Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland | Hard | Round of 16
07 Aug 2025, 17:00
07 Aug 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Federico … | Aslan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Federico Cinà
Ranking
#237
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (8p)
WR Hard
15/29 = 51.7%
Aslan Karatsev
Ranking
#374
UTR Rating
14.17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#295
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Hard
19/37 = 51.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 137.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.5781 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.4562 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 109.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -188.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2.2890 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.2907 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7838 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52.0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.3478 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51.5152 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.2195 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3.4294 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.5780 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.9691 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.6999 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7.1767 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.1248 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40.8163 | |
| momentum_diff | 19.1837 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 16.6736 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.5733 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.7632 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.0442 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1164 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1805 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7259 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7259 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7840
API ID
14311728
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Federico Cin\u00e0",
"player2": "Aslan Karatsev",
"tournament": "Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-08-07T17:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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"form_l10_matches": 8
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"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.17,
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"form_l5_matches": 4,
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"utr": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
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"p2_confidence": 1.0,
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"serve_quality_diff": -3.4293580562659898,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.578005115089525,
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"bp_saved_diff": 0.6999232736572978,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.176700767263426,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.12480818414322226,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
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"momentum_diff": 19.183673469387763,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 16.67355102040817,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
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"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.573272823967153,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.763235483137123,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.0442330239643531,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11641176470588233,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1804782608695652,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
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"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
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"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
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"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
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"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
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"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}