Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Kei Nishikori
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 128
08 Aug 2025, 15:00
08 Aug 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Camilo … | Kei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
14.93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41.4%
Kei Nishikori
Ranking
#156
UTR Rating
15.21 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
25/40 = 62.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 107.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3.1837 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.1580 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 656.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -39.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20.8293 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18.6237 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 39.6970 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60.5263 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42.4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61.3636 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.7704 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.5313 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.4840 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.2700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5.1816 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.7250 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -17.4710 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 79.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.5597 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1279 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.1667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.5171 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.4114 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -24.1211 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2100 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2123 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -41.6587 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8482 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.8580 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7843
API ID
14357967
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 7843,
"api_id": 14357967,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
"player2": "Kei Nishikori",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-08T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.93,
"utr_ranking": 102,
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"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.21,
"utr_ranking": 84,
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"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"division": "Pro",
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"points_diff": 656,
"best_rank_diff": -39,
"surface_wr_diff": -20.829346092503997,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.725,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.7704244702665832,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.531328320802018,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.4840183792815367,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.2699749373433704,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.181629072681709,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7249829118250171,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999996,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -17.47099999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 79,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5597014925373134,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.127906976744186,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.517118380503554,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.411432166994471,
"surface_rank_synergy": -24.12112657313266,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21003030303030312,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21226315789473682,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -41.65869218500799,
"utr_diff": -0.28000000000000114,
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"utr_advantage": -1.8579960185799678,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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}