Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Kei Nishikori
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 128
08 Ago 2025, 19:00
08 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Camilo … | Kei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/18 = 33,3%
Kei Nishikori
Ranking
#240
UTR Rating
14,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
11/19 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 191,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,8980 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5888 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 796,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -39,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20,8293 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18,6237 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 39,6970 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,5263 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,3636 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,7704 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,5313 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,4840 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,2700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,1816 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7250 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -17,4710 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 79,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5597 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1279 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5171 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4114 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -33,0941 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2940 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2963 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -62,4880 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7859 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,6112 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7843
API ID
14357967
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7843,
"api_id": 14357967,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
"player2": "Kei Nishikori",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-08-08T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.77,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 240,
"utr_singles": 14.68,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 132,
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"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 4.8979591836734695,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5888186252313647,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 796,
"best_rank_diff": -39,
"surface_wr_diff": -20.829346092503997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.62373737373738,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.725,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 39.69696969696969,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.526315789473685,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.36363636363637,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.7704244702665832,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.531328320802018,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.4840183792815367,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.2699749373433704,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.181629072681709,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7249829118250171,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999996,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -17.47099999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 79,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5597014925373134,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.127906976744186,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.517118380503554,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.411432166994471,
"surface_rank_synergy": -33.0940530231605,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2940303030303032,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2962631578947369,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -62.48803827751199,
"utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
"utr_p1": 0.796470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.7858823529411765,
"utr_advantage": 0.6112054329371808,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
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}