Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Kei Nishikori
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 128
08 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Camilo … Kei … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #117
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/18 = 33,3%
Kei Nishikori
Ranking #240
UTR Rating 14,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #132
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 11/19 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 191,0000
rank_ratio 4,8980
log_rank_ratio 1,5888
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 796,0000
best_rank_diff -39,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -20,8293
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -18,6237
surface_matches_ratio 0,7250
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 39,6970
surface_wr_p2 60,5263
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,4242
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,3636
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 40,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1724
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,7704
first_serve_won_diff 1,5313
second_serve_won_diff -1,4840
bp_saved_diff -2,2700
bp_converted_diff 5,1816
aces_per_match_diff 0,7250
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -17,4710
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 79,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5597
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1279
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1667
serve_consistency_p1 4,5171
serve_consistency_p2 9,4114
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -33,0941
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2940
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2963
elite_surface_amplifier -62,4880
UTR
utr_diff 0,0900
utr_p1 0,7965
utr_p2 0,7859
utr_advantage 0,6112
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 7843
API ID 14357967
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Cincinnati
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 7843,
    "api_id": 14357967,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
    "player2": "Kei Nishikori",
    "tournament": "Cincinnati",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2025-08-08T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 14.77,
      "utr_ranking": 117,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 240,
      "utr_singles": 14.68,
      "utr_ranking": 132,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.77,
      "ranking": 117,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.68,
      "ranking": 132,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 191,
    "rank_ratio": 4.8979591836734695,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.5888186252313647,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "points_diff": 796,
    "best_rank_diff": -39,
    "surface_wr_diff": -20.829346092503997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.62373737373738,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.725,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 39.69696969696969,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.526315789473685,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.36363636363637,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 40,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.7704244702665832,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.531328320802018,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.4840183792815367,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.2699749373433704,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.181629072681709,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7249829118250171,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "momentum_diff": -9.999999999999996,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -17.47099999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 79,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5597014925373134,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.127906976744186,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.517118380503554,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.411432166994471,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -33.0940530231605,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2940303030303032,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2962631578947369,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -62.48803827751199,
    "utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
    "utr_p1": 0.796470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.7858823529411765,
    "utr_advantage": 0.6112054329371808,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}