Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Sebastian Korda
Adelaide | Hard | Final
11 Ene 2025, 12:30
11 Ene 2025, 12:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Felix … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
15,92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
100% (3p)
Forma L10
100% (3p)
WR Hard
37/52 = 71,2%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
100% (3p)
Forma L10
100% (3p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,6250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8909 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3015,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,8537 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,7156 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3390 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1410 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,2874 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,4458 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,7302 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 79,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 59,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2405 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,0854 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,4431 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,9269 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,7977 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,9501 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,4929 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9496 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9573 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,0117 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,9778 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,1776 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0864 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1279 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 14,5610 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,8672 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
785
API ID
13291154
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 785,
"api_id": 13291154,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
"player2": "Sebastian Korda",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-01-11T08:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 8,
"utr_singles": 15.92,
"utr_ranking": 5,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.92,
"ranking": 5,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.47,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 45,
"rank_ratio": 6.625,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.890850371872286,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 3015,
"best_rank_diff": 10,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.853669319186558,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7156244023713825,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3389830508474576,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.141025641025635,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.28735632183908,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.44578313253012,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.730158730158735,
"p1_surface_matches": 79,
"p2_surface_matches": 59,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.24050632911392406,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.085403065134116,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.44312466843503273,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.9269000884173124,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.7976831712348798,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.950143530798698,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.49288535219569773,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9495967741935484,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9572953736654805,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.011738692241649,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.9778012684989434,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.177562437129009,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08641025641025646,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12787356321839072,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 14.561007957559674,
"utr_diff": 0.4499999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.9317647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.8788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 2.8671551449506163,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}