Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys
Adelaide | Hard | Final
11 Jan 2025, 06:05
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Madison … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 100% (3p)
Forma L10 100% (3p)
WR Hard 62/87 = 71.3%
Madison Keys
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 12.48 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 86% (7p)
WR Hard 31/44 = 70.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 1.0000
rank_ratio 1.1667
log_rank_ratio 0.1542
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 1248.0000
best_rank_diff 2.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.6767
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1.5797
surface_matches_ratio 1.9773
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 70.6767
surface_wr_p2 70.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 70.3297
surface_wr_p2_stable 68.7500
p1_surface_matches 87.0000
p2_surface_matches 44.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.4253
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2.7767
first_serve_won_diff 0.7442
second_serve_won_diff 0.1857
bp_saved_diff 0.2795
bp_converted_diff 3.1446
aces_per_match_diff -1.6022
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 98.0000
momentum_diff 2.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff -1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 7.0000
match_load_diff -4.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.9061
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.7643
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.7500
serve_consistency_p1 9.0004
serve_consistency_p2 10.6434
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.1043
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.2058
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.2010
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.3000
utr_p1 0.5624
utr_p2 0.5271
utr_advantage 2.3753
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 787
API ID 13293936
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 787,
    "api_id": 13293936,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "Madison Keys",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-01-11T06:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.78,
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      "wr_surface": 71.26436781609196,
      "wr_surface_wins": 62,
      "wr_surface_total": 87,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.45454545454545,
      "wr_surface_wins": 31,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 22,
      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "best_rank_diff": 2,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.5796703296703356,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 70.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.32967032967034,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
    "p1_surface_matches": 87,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.42528735632183906,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.7766616541353386,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.7442105263157828,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.18565789473684902,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.27953947368421694,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.1446381578947395,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6022321428571429,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.906060606060606,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7642857142857142,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.000419561757166,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.6433548553819,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.10431249010866903,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20576691729323293,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.29999999999999893,
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    "utr_advantage": 2.3752969121140057,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
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    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
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}