McCartney Kessler vs Elise Mertens
Hobart | Hard | Final
11 Ene 2025, 06:00
11 Ene 2025, 06:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | McCartney … | Elise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
McCartney Kessler
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
27/42 = 64,3%
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
12,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
100% (4p)
Forma L10
100% (4p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5676 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5664 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -621,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -18,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,7300 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,6521 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2419 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,9843 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,1975 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 77,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2987 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,5756 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,7255 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,2864 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,5727 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,1218 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,5635 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7450 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7063 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4118 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,8559 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,9144 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,5110 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1631 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0338 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5165 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5235 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,4831 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
788
API ID
13293911
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 788,
"api_id": 13293911,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "McCartney Kessler",
"player2": "Elise Mertens",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-01-11T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 37,
"utr_singles": 12.39,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 12.45,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.39,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.45,
"ranking": 27,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -16,
"rank_ratio": 0.5675675675675675,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5663954749208014,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -621,
"best_rank_diff": -18,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.729959695476943,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.652076318742992,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2419354838709677,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.71428571428571,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.984326018808765,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.19753086419753,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"p1_surface_matches": 77,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2987012987012987,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.575634423048221,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.725454545454554,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.2863636363636317,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5727272727272776,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.1218181818181776,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.5634990297059264,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7449664429530202,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7063492063492064,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4117647058823529,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.855925149055526,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.9144298928385752,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.511005142679919,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16314285714285715,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03384326018808759,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.05999999999999872,
"utr_p1": 0.5164705882352942,
"utr_p2": 0.5235294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -0.4830917874396033,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}