McCartney Kessler vs Elise Mertens
Hobart | Hard | Final
11 Jan 2025, 02:00
11 Jan 2025, 02:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | McCartney … | Elise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
McCartney Kessler
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
12.40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
50/77 = 64.9%
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
100% (4p)
Forma L10
100% (4p)
WR Hard
34/62 = 54.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -11.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.6452 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.4383 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -411.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -18.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9.7300 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9.6521 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.2419 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64.7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.9843 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64.1975 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 77.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2987 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7.5756 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.7255 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.2864 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.5727 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.1218 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.5635 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7450 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7063 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4118 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.8559 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.9144 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4.2642 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1581 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0388 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5212 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.2416 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
788
API ID
13293911
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 788,
"api_id": 13293911,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "McCartney Kessler",
"player2": "Elise Mertens",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-01-11T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 12.4,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.93506493506493,
"wr_surface_wins": 50,
"wr_surface_total": 77,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.4,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.43,
"ranking": 27,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -11,
"rank_ratio": 0.6451612903225806,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4382549309311553,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -411,
"best_rank_diff": -18,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.729959695476943,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.652076318742992,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2419354838709677,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.71428571428571,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.984326018808765,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.19753086419753,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"p1_surface_matches": 77,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2987012987012987,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.575634423048221,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.725454545454554,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.2863636363636317,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5727272727272776,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.1218181818181776,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.5634990297059264,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7449664429530202,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7063492063492064,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4117647058823529,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.855925149055526,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.9144298928385752,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.264202814304173,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15814285714285714,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03884326018808759,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
"utr_p1": 0.5176470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.5211764705882352,
"utr_advantage": -0.24164317358034124,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}