McCartney Kessler vs Elise Mertens
Hobart | Hard | Final
11 Jan 2025, 02:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente McCartney … Elise … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
McCartney Kessler
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 12.40 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 83% (6p)
WR Hard 50/77 = 64.9%
Elise Mertens
Ranking #20
UTR Rating 12.43 Pro
UTR Ranking #27
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 34/62 = 54.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -11.0000
rank_ratio 0.6452
log_rank_ratio -0.4383
rank_tier_advantage -1.0000
points_diff -411.0000
best_rank_diff -18.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9.7300
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9.6521
surface_matches_ratio 1.2419
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3.0000
surface_wr_p1 64.7143
surface_wr_p2 54.9843
surface_wr_p1_stable 64.1975
surface_wr_p2_stable 54.5455
p1_surface_matches 77.0000
p2_surface_matches 62.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.2987
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7.5756
first_serve_won_diff -4.7255
second_serve_won_diff -0.2864
bp_saved_diff 1.5727
bp_converted_diff 3.1218
aces_per_match_diff -2.5635
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 98.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -2.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0.0000
match_load_p1 6.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff 2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.7450
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.7063
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4118
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.3077
serve_consistency_p1 4.8559
serve_consistency_p2 3.9144
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4.2642
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1581
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0388
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.0300
utr_p1 0.5176
utr_p2 0.5212
utr_advantage -0.2416
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 788
API ID 13293911
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 788,
    "api_id": 13293911,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "McCartney Kessler",
    "player2": "Elise Mertens",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-01-11T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 31,
      "utr_singles": 12.4,
      "utr_ranking": 29,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.93506493506493,
      "wr_surface_wins": 50,
      "wr_surface_total": 77,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 20,
      "utr_singles": 12.43,
      "utr_ranking": 27,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 62,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.4,
      "ranking": 29,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.43,
      "ranking": 27,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 0.6451612903225806,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -411,
    "best_rank_diff": -18,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.729959695476943,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.652076318742992,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2419354838709677,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.71428571428571,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.984326018808765,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.19753086419753,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "p1_surface_matches": 77,
    "p2_surface_matches": 62,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2987012987012987,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.575634423048221,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.725454545454554,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.2863636363636317,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.5727272727272776,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.1218181818181776,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.5634990297059264,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7449664429530202,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7063492063492064,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4117647058823529,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.855925149055526,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.9144298928385752,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.264202814304173,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15814285714285714,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03884326018808759,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
    "utr_p1": 0.5176470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.5211764705882352,
    "utr_advantage": -0.24164317358034124,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}