Tatjana Maria vs Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 64
09 Aug 2025, 15:00
09 Aug 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tatjana … | Marta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatjana Maria
Ranking
#45
UTR Rating
11.95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#119
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
28/66 = 42.4%
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
12.53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#19
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
45/69 = 65.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -19.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5778 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.5486 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -430.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -20.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26.3454 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -21.5264 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9565 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37.9487 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64.2941 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42.8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64.3836 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 66.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1515 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4.8421 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.6799 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7.3105 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -15.7974 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.4854 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0955 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -29.3810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7607 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8282 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5294 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.6710 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1.7755 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14.4522 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1015 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1239 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5329 | |
| utr_advantage | -4.7386 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7903
API ID
14316437
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tatjana Maria",
"player2": "Marta Kostyuk",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-09T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.95,
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"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": -20,
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"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15151515151515152,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.842066800737392,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.6798575498575445,
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"bp_saved_diff": -15.797430199430202,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.4853903133903117,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.09550192726663287,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -17.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -29.381,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7606837606837606,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8281853281853282,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.671004307079857,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.775529341807689,
"surface_rank_synergy": 14.452189259723903,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10151282051282057,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12394117647058811,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5800000000000001,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
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"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
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"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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