Tatjana Maria vs Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 64
09 Ago 2025, 19:00
09 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tatjana … | Marta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatjana Maria
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#131
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
9/27 = 33,3%
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
22/35 = 62,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -22,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4762 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7419 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -751,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26,3454 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -21,5264 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9565 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,9487 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,2941 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,3836 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 66,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1515 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,8421 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,6799 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,3105 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -15,7974 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,4854 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0955 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -29,3810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7607 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8282 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5294 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6710 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,7755 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 19,5466 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0985 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1209 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,7936 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7903
API ID
14316437
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7903,
"api_id": 14316437,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tatjana Maria",
"player2": "Marta Kostyuk",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-09T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 131,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 12.61,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 131,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.47619047619047616,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7419373447293773,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -751,
"best_rank_diff": -20,
"surface_wr_diff": -26.34539969834087,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -21.526418786692766,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9565217391304348,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.94871794871794,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.29411764705881,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.38356164383562,
"p1_surface_matches": 66,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15151515151515152,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.842066800737392,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.6798575498575445,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.310472934472941,
"bp_saved_diff": -15.797430199430202,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.4853903133903117,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.09550192726663287,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -17.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -29.381,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7606837606837606,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8281853281853282,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.671004307079857,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.775529341807689,
"surface_rank_synergy": 19.546635898021165,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09851282051282056,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12094117647058811,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.7099999999999991,
"utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_p2": 0.5423529411764705,
"utr_advantage": -5.793553651570781,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}