Kei Nishikori vs Thiago Monteiro
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
12 Ene 2025, 06:10
12 Ene 2025, 06:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kei … | Thiago … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kei Nishikori
Ranking
#240
UTR Rating
14,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
11/19 = 57,9%
Thiago Monteiro
Ranking
#196
UTR Rating
14,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#317
Forma L5
100% (3p)
Forma L10
100% (3p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -44,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8167 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2025 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -72,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 57,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 24,5263 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 21,9571 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,3529 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,5263 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 36,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 33,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -19,1964 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,5907 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,9218 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,3747 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,0270 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,7123 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,5200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1279 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8090 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,2035 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,2543 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,9672 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1493 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1840 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7212 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8181 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
791
API ID
13315922
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 13315922,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Kei Nishikori",
"player2": "Thiago Monteiro",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-12T02:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.68,
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"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
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"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.13,
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"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
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},
"utr": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -72,
"best_rank_diff": 57,
"surface_wr_diff": 24.526315789473685,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -19.19636992481204,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.590661654135346,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.921759398496242,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.3746917293232954,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.027037593984964,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.7122556390977435,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -39.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.519999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.127906976744186,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8089887640449438,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.2035078532631545,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.254328711911914,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.967174056628786,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14926315789473688,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18400000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.5499999999999989,
"utr_p1": 0.7858823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.7211764705882354,
"utr_advantage": 3.8181187087816655,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}