Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 64
09 Aug 2025, 23:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aryna … Marketa … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 71/86 = 82.6%
Marketa Vondrousova
Ranking #34
UTR Rating 12.66 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 15/27 = 55.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 33.0000
rank_ratio 34.0000
log_rank_ratio 3.5264
rank_tier_advantage 2.0000
points_diff 9425.0000
best_rank_diff 5.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 28.3081
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 24.9588
surface_matches_ratio 3.1852
surface_tournaments_won_diff 7.0000
surface_wr_p1 83.8636
surface_wr_p2 55.5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 81.1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 54.8387
p1_surface_matches 86.0000
p2_surface_matches 27.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.6512
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 0.9000
combined_confidence 0.9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1.6356
first_serve_won_diff 3.2588
second_serve_won_diff 5.2682
bp_saved_diff 8.4502
bp_converted_diff 2.8844
aces_per_match_diff -0.7871
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 60.0000
momentum_p2 62.0000
momentum_diff -2.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2.8500
current_streak_diff -2.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 0.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff -3.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.1751
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8696
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.7222
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6000
serve_consistency_p1 10.9456
serve_consistency_p2 10.7249
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 99.8245
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.3056
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0886
elite_surface_amplifier 56.6162
UTR
utr_diff 0.3100
utr_p1 0.5847
utr_p2 0.5482
utr_advantage 2.4190
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 7916
API ID 14316442
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Cincinnati
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 7916,
    "api_id": 14316442,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
    "player2": "Marketa Vondrousova",
    "tournament": "Cincinnati",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2025-08-09T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 1,
      "utr_singles": 12.97,
      "utr_ranking": 2,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 82.55813953488372,
      "wr_surface_wins": 71,
      "wr_surface_total": 86,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 34,
      "utr_singles": 12.66,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.97,
      "ranking": 2,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.66,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 33,
    "rank_ratio": 34.0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 3.5263605246161616,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 9425,
    "best_rank_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 28.308080808080803,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 24.958781362007173,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.185185185185185,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 83.86363636363636,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.83870967741935,
    "p1_surface_matches": 86,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.6511627906976745,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.6356060606060652,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.258787878787885,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.268181818181816,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.45015151515151,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.884393939393938,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.7871212121212121,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.8499999999999943,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1751412429378532,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8695652173913043,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7222222222222222,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.945606712613715,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.724879966617841,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 99.82449868926051,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3056363636363637,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0885555555555555,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 56.616161616161605,
    "utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
    "utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
    "utr_p2": 0.548235294117647,
    "utr_advantage": 2.419040187280534,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}