Luca Nardi vs Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 64
10 Aug 2025, 20:10
10 Aug 2025, 20:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luca … | Denis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luca Nardi
Ranking
#107
UTR Rating
14.73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#125
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
44/81 = 54.3%
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15.69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
45/74 = 60.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -84.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2150 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.5373 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1076.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -57.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7.2904 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6.1388 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0946 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.0610 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61.3514 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.1176 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60.2564 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 81.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0864 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -15.8366 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.1465 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8.8300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.1803 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.7877 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5.3072 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8.8900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 11.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6115 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7597 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4815 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.4502 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.0113 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11.2077 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1246 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0295 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.9600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9047 | |
| utr_advantage | -6.3116 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7930
API ID
14316269
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 14316269,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luca Nardi",
"player2": "Denis Shapovalov",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-10T20:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_total": 81,
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"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"p2": {
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": -57,
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"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08641975308641975,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -15.836579433091622,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.146457976268934,
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"bp_converted_diff": -1.7876522742254437,
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"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
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"momentum_diff": 7.105427357601002e-15,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.89,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
"match_load_p1": 3,
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"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6115107913669064,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.48148148148148145,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.450207274208238,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.011310836162385,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.207747009665793,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12460975609756098,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0295135135135135,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
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"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
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"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}