Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 64
10 Ago 2025, 19:00
10 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jasmine … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jasmine Paolini
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
27/41 = 65,9%
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
12,17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#60
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/35 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,6250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8909 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3134,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14,7142 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,2076 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2759 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,2794 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,5652 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,8205 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,6129 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 58,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2703 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,4506 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,4294 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,1315 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,7522 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,5785 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,5982 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -38,5850 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8454 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6193 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4615 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,4072 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0585 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 27,8223 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0978 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0407 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 44,1425 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4906 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3926 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7938
API ID
14316450
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 7938,
"api_id": 14316450,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jasmine Paolini",
"player2": "Maria Sakkari",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-10T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.59,
"utr_ranking": 17,
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"wr_surface": 65.85365853658537,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.17,
"utr_ranking": 60,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 17,
"division": "Pro",
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"p2": {
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"ranking": 60,
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 1.890850371872286,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 3134,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 14.714161766123595,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 58,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2702702702702703,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.450622616407983,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.4294400848356332,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.13153938108550278,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.7522381181914568,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.5785076641280256,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.5982203798322563,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -40.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -38.585000000000015,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8454258675078864,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6192893401015228,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46153846153846156,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.40719725044654,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.058514513286084,
"surface_rank_synergy": 27.822278247263775,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09779379157427948,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04065217391304338,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 44.14248529837079,
"utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.54,
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"utr_advantage": 3.3925686591276247,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}