Daria Kasatkina vs Lucia Bronzetti
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 64
10 Aug 2025, 18:50
10 Aug 2025, 18:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Lucia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
12.20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
35/64 = 54.7%
Lucia Bronzetti
Ranking
#108
UTR Rating
11.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#253
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
31/69 = 44.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 71.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.9189 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.0712 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 595.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 38.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7.1128 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9.2063 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9275 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51.2923 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44.1795 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.4118 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45.2055 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 64.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0938 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.4582 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.4497 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.7506 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.7028 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.2364 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.6292 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11.7960 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6181 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5065 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.3201 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.3414 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7.6193 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0581 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0128 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 14.2256 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.7200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4094 | |
| utr_advantage | 6.0811 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7945
API ID
14316448
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Daria Kasatkina",
"player2": "Lucia Bronzetti",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-10T18:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
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"player_stats": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09375,
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"p2_confidence": 1.0,
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"serve_quality_diff": -1.4581512820512827,
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"momentum_p1": 40.0,
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"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
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"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.058076923076923026,
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"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
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"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
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"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
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