Daria Kasatkina vs Lucia Bronzetti
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 64
10 Ago 2025, 22:50
10 Ago 2025, 22:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Lucia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48,0%
Lucia Bronzetti
Ranking
#107
UTR Rating
11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#227
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/30 = 43,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 64,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,4884 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9116 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 499,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,1128 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,2063 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9275 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,2923 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,1795 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,4118 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,2055 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 64,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0938 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,4582 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,4497 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,7506 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,7028 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,2364 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6292 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,9660 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6181 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5065 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3201 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3414 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,4843 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0511 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0058 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 14,2256 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4188 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,2233 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
7945
API ID
14316448
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7945,
"api_id": 14316448,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daria Kasatkina",
"player2": "Lucia Bronzetti",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-10T18:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 43,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 58,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 107,
"utr_singles": 11.56,
"utr_ranking": 227,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.18,
"ranking": 58,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.56,
"ranking": 227,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 64,
"rank_ratio": 2.488372093023256,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9116287187683437,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 499,
"best_rank_diff": 38,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.112820512820512,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.20628525382756,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.927536231884058,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.29230769230769,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.179487179487175,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.41176470588235,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.20547945205479,
"p1_surface_matches": 64,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09375,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.4581512820512827,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.4497179487179395,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.7505641025640912,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.7027692307692348,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.2363846153846225,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.629230769230769,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.966000000000008,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6181229773462783,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5064935064935064,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.320125941566403,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.341379874517234,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.484251450931757,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05107692307692313,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.005794871794871814,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 14.225641025641025,
"utr_diff": 0.6199999999999992,
"utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.41882352941176476,
"utr_advantage": 5.223251895534955,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}