Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 32
11 Aug 2025, 16:40
11 Aug 2025, 16:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Emma … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
71/86 = 82.6%
Emma Raducanu
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
12.58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
31/52 = 59.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 28.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 29.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3.3673 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 9307.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 9.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25.1061 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 22.1825 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.6538 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 7.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 83.8636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58.7576 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81.1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.9286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 86.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.6512 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.2305 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4.2470 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5.0791 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.1533 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.2383 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.2917 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7.6300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1751 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8168 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6111 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.1372 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.7850 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 84.5395 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.3106 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1156 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 50.2121 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5388 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.0528 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7963
API ID
14316446
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Emma Raducanu",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-11T16:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"player_stats": {
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"utr": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6511627906976745,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.2305454545454495,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.2469696969696855,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.079090909090908,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.153333333333329,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.238333333333337,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.2916666666666661,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.63000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1751412429378532,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8167539267015707,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.137215317931224,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.784961736948461,
"surface_rank_synergy": 84.53953318617557,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3106363636363636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11557575757575755,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 50.21212121212122,
"utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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