Frances Tiafoe vs Holger Rune
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 16
13 Aug 2025, 15:00
13 Aug 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Frances … | Holger … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Frances Tiafoe
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#64
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
38/67 = 56.7%
Holger Rune
Ranking
#15
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
54/81 = 66.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -15.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1080.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -6.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10.9641 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9.5443 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8272 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55.2533 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66.2174 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56.3380 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65.8824 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 67.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 81.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1343 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6.1673 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.8988 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.3419 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.1030 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.6510 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3.2602 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.1800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.2993 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1432 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5588 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.9647 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.5016 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7.5997 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0675 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1472 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8741 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7980
API ID
14316289
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Frances Tiafoe",
"player2": "Holger Rune",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-08-13T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 56.71641791044776,
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"wr_surface_total": 67,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"p2": {
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"wr_surface_wins": 54,
"wr_surface_total": 81,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -6,
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"p1_surface_matches": 67,
"p2_surface_matches": 81,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13432835820895522,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.1672616852924165,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.8988473774369652,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.341894118606739,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.103016559262585,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.6510351578432108,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.2602031160779834,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.1799999999999926,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2992518703241895,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.143236074270557,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 8.964716001173848,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.501607476701208,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.599740549137904,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06753283302063795,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14717391304347816,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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}