Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 16
14 Aug 2025, 00:25
14 Aug 2025, 00:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luca … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luca Nardi
Ranking
#107
UTR Rating
14.73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#125
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
44/81 = 54.3%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
61/75 = 81.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -106.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.0093 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -4.6052 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -4.0000 | |
| points_diff | -11451.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -66.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -28.6716 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -25.6292 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0800 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -5.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.0610 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 82.7326 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.1176 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 79.7468 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 81.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 75.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0864 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11.8262 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6.7587 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -10.6718 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.2176 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.8233 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.6227 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6115 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.3579 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4815 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5238 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.8907 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.8159 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 132.0375 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1466 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2213 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1.6900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9906 | |
| utr_advantage | -10.8507 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7986
API ID
14316275
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7986,
"api_id": 14316275,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luca Nardi",
"player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-08-14T00:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.73,
"utr_ranking": 125,
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"wr_surface": 54.32098765432099,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 81,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 16.42,
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"wr_surface": 81.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 61,
"wr_surface_total": 75,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -4,
"points_diff": -11451,
"best_rank_diff": -66,
"surface_wr_diff": -28.67158252977879,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.11764705882353,
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"p1_surface_matches": 81,
"p2_surface_matches": 75,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08641975308641975,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.826230360181505,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.75865470788429,
"second_serve_won_diff": -10.671773964832674,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.2175922078842873,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.8233312889960303,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.6226854083947813,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6115107913669064,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3578732106339468,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.48148148148148145,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5238095238095238,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.8906882591093135,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.8159353764846715,
"surface_rank_synergy": 132.0375170512343,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.146609756097561,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22132558139534886,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.6900000000000013,
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"utr_advantage": -10.850722311396478,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}