Luca Nardi vs Carlos Alcaraz
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 16
14 Aug 2025, 00:25
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Luca … Carlos … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luca Nardi
Ranking #107
UTR Rating 14.73 Pro
UTR Ranking #125
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 44/81 = 54.3%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 61/75 = 81.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -106.0000
rank_ratio 0.0093
log_rank_ratio -4.6052
rank_tier_advantage -4.0000
points_diff -11451.0000
best_rank_diff -66.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -28.6716
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -25.6292
surface_matches_ratio 1.0800
surface_tournaments_won_diff -5.0000
surface_wr_p1 54.0610
surface_wr_p2 82.7326
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.1176
surface_wr_p2_stable 79.7468
p1_surface_matches 81.0000
p2_surface_matches 75.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0864
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11.8262
first_serve_won_diff -6.7587
second_serve_won_diff -10.6718
bp_saved_diff -2.2176
bp_converted_diff -0.8233
aces_per_match_diff -2.6227
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 92.0000
momentum_p2 80.0000
momentum_diff 12.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 5.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 3.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.6115
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.3579
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4815
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5238
serve_consistency_p1 4.8907
serve_consistency_p2 7.8159
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 132.0375
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1466
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.2213
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -1.6900
utr_p1 0.7918
utr_p2 0.9906
utr_advantage -10.8507
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 7986
API ID 14316275
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Cincinnati
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
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    "player1": "Luca Nardi",
    "player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "tournament": "Cincinnati",
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    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-08-14T00:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
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