Magda Linette vs Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 32
13 Aug 2025, 16:30
13 Aug 2025, 16:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Magda … | Jessica … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magda Linette
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
12.13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#71
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
29/61 = 47.5%
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
62/87 = 71.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -49.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1091 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2.2156 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3.0000 | |
| points_diff | -4494.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -16.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22.8057 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -22.6374 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7011 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47.8710 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70.6767 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47.6923 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70.3297 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 61.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0492 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.9259 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.0690 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7.2700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.4030 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.4899 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.8948 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10.0800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7355 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9061 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5882 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.9720 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.7144 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 50.5278 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0277 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1578 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.6500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5624 | |
| utr_advantage | -5.2188 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
7991
API ID
14316465
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 7991,
"api_id": 14316465,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Magda Linette",
"player2": "Jessica Pegula",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-13T16:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.13,
"utr_ranking": 71,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 47.540983606557376,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 61,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.78,
"utr_ranking": 7,
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"wr_surface": 71.26436781609196,
"wr_surface_wins": 62,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
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},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -4494,
"best_rank_diff": -16,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.32967032967034,
"p1_surface_matches": 61,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.04918032786885246,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.9259060878001435,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.0689847198641615,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.269996604414274,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.402950764006796,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.489908319185062,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.894792626728111,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.080000000000013,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7355371900826446,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.906060606060606,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5882352941176471,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.972011998728673,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.714373477843132,
"surface_rank_synergy": 50.52776264090786,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.027709677419354872,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1577669172932329,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.6499999999999986,
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"utr_advantage": -5.218787635487745,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}