Ella Seidel vs Varvara Gracheva
Cincinnati | Hard | Round of 16
14 Aug 2025, 19:00
14 Aug 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ella … | Varvara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ella Seidel
Ranking
#84
UTR Rating
12.11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
39/62 = 62.9%
Varvara Gracheva
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
12.07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
31/62 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -7.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.9167 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.0870 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -54.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -46.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11.7697 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12.1212 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64.1447 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52.3750 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62.1212 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2581 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.4694 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6.1758 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.7270 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8.3734 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.2791 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.7998 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.2353 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.4595 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5833 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.9644 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.6527 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.0241 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1484 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0168 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4788 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.3309 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8000
API ID
14316413
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cincinnati
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8000,
"api_id": 14316413,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ella Seidel",
"player2": "Varvara Gracheva",
"tournament": "Cincinnati",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-08-14T19:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.903225806451616,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 12.07,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 75,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.9166666666666666,
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"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -54,
"best_rank_diff": -46,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.76973684210526,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.121212121212125,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.14473684210526,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.375,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.121212121212125,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 62,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25806451612903225,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.469401973684214,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.175769736842106,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.7269605263157928,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.373417763157896,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.2790756578947367,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7998026315789475,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4594594594594595,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5833333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.964420035493362,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.65273285276984,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.0241010094371559,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14844736842105266,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.016750000000000043,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.03999999999999915,
"utr_p1": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.47882352941176476,
"utr_advantage": 0.33085194375516247,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}