Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz
Cincinnati | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Aug 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Andrey … Carlos … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrey Rublev
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 15.73 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 54/90 = 60.0%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 61/75 = 81.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -15.0000
rank_ratio 0.0625
log_rank_ratio -2.7726
rank_tier_advantage -1.0000
points_diff -9530.0000
best_rank_diff -4.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -24.4218
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -20.1724
surface_matches_ratio 1.2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -4.0000
surface_wr_p1 58.3107
surface_wr_p2 82.7326
surface_wr_p1_stable 59.5745
surface_wr_p2_stable 79.7468
p1_surface_matches 90.0000
p2_surface_matches 75.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3.6333
first_serve_won_diff -0.1860
second_serve_won_diff -5.5184
bp_saved_diff 1.8874
bp_converted_diff -7.1762
aces_per_match_diff 2.6909
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 92.0000
momentum_p2 92.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 5.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff 2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.2527
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.3579
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4783
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5238
serve_consistency_p1 6.5892
serve_consistency_p2 6.5914
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 67.7117
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0981
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.3123
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.6900
utr_p1 0.9094
utr_p2 0.9906
utr_advantage -4.2924
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 8002
API ID 14316278
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Cincinnati
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8002,
    "api_id": 14316278,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Andrey Rublev",
    "player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "tournament": "Cincinnati",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-08-15T19:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface": 60.0,
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      "wr_surface_total": 90,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "wr_surface": 81.33333333333333,
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      "wr_surface_total": 75,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.57446808510638,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 79.74683544303798,
    "p1_surface_matches": 90,
    "p2_surface_matches": 75,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 3.633340879196055,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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    "match_load_p1": 5,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.252723311546841,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3578732106339468,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4782608695652174,
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    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.589229275901205,
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
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    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
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    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
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    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
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}