Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz
Cincinnati | Hard | Quarterfinals
15 Ago 2025, 23:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Andrey … Carlos … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrey Rublev
Ranking #15
UTR Rating 15,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #27
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 22/39 = 56,4%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 37/43 = 86,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -14,0000
rank_ratio 0,0667
log_rank_ratio -2,7081
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -9450,0000
best_rank_diff -4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -24,4218
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -20,1724
surface_matches_ratio 1,2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -4,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,3107
surface_wr_p2 82,7326
surface_wr_p1_stable 59,5745
surface_wr_p2_stable 79,7468
p1_surface_matches 90,0000
p2_surface_matches 75,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,6333
first_serve_won_diff -0,1860
second_serve_won_diff -5,5184
bp_saved_diff 1,8874
bp_converted_diff -7,1762
aces_per_match_diff 2,6909
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2527
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,3579
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4783
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5238
serve_consistency_p1 6,5892
serve_consistency_p2 6,5914
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 66,1356
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0971
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3133
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7900
utr_p1 0,8859
utr_p2 0,9788
utr_advantage -4,9608
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 8002
API ID 14316278
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Cincinnati
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8002,
    "api_id": 14316278,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Andrey Rublev",
    "player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "tournament": "Cincinnati",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-08-15T19:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 15,
      "utr_singles": 15.53,
      "utr_ranking": 27,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.41025641025641,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 1,
      "utr_singles": 16.32,
      "utr_ranking": 2,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 86.04651162790698,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 2,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 0.06666666666666667,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.70805020110221,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -9450,
    "best_rank_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -24.421849240590703,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -20.1723673579316,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.310708898944185,
    "surface_wr_p2": 82.73255813953489,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.57446808510638,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 79.74683544303798,
    "p1_surface_matches": 90,
    "p2_surface_matches": 75,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.633340879196055,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.18596706303273436,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.518369769195694,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.8873563721105668,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.176233415324987,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.6909176707355575,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.252723311546841,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3578732106339468,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4782608695652174,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5238095238095238,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.589229275901205,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.591376713676783,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 66.13559374726951,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09710708898944187,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.31332558139534883,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.7900000000000009,
    "utr_p1": 0.8858823529411763,
    "utr_p2": 0.9788235294117648,
    "utr_advantage": -4.9607535321821095,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}