Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Leylah Fernandez
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
12 Jan 2025, 00:00
12 Jan 2025, 00:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yuliia … | Leylah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking
#113
UTR Rating
11.86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#138
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
30/58 = 51.7%
Leylah Fernandez
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12.56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
44/74 = 59.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -91.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1947 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.6363 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1136.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -50.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15.7845 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7.3615 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7838 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45.2808 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61.0653 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51.6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7.1528 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.7806 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.7171 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.5965 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.5794 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.5737 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 55.5556 | |
| momentum_diff | -55.5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -42.5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 12.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.4516 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8798 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3077 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.9676 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 25.8289 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0438 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0197 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.7000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5365 | |
| utr_advantage | -5.7330 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
804
API ID
13314283
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 804,
"api_id": 13314283,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
"player2": "Leylah Fernandez",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-12T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.86,
"utr_ranking": 138,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.724137931034484,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 58,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 12.56,
"utr_ranking": 17,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
"wr_surface_wins": 44,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 138,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.19469026548672566,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6363453653540248,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1136,
"best_rank_diff": -50,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.784501680975794,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.36145574855253,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7837837837837838,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.28076463560335,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.06526631657914,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.152788447111774,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.780645161290316,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.717096774193543,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.5964516129032233,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.5793548387096763,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.573668417104276,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"momentum_diff": -55.55555555555556,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -42.5,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.45161290322580644,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8798283261802575,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3076923076923077,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.96761443240266,
"surface_rank_synergy": 25.828896170087553,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04380764635603346,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.019652663165791395,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.7000000000000011,
"utr_p1": 0.45411764705882346,
"utr_p2": 0.5364705882352941,
"utr_advantage": -5.733005733005742,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}