Yoshihito Nishioka vs Pablo Carreño Busta
Winston Salem | Hard | Round of 64
18 Ago 2025, 02:30
18 Ago 2025, 02:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yoshihito … | Pablo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yoshihito Nishioka
Ranking
#115
UTR Rating
14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#127
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
10% (10p)
WR Hard
19/34 = 55,9%
Pablo Carreño Busta
Ranking
#94
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -21,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8174 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2016 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -128,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -14,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,2932 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,8768 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,6015 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,6232 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,2163 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,2857 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,5433 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,8860 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,5467 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4553 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13,2050 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 12,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8084 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7118 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4762 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6085 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3095 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,6722 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0670 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1079 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7894 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8041
API ID
14452479
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Winston Salem
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8041,
"api_id": 14452479,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Yoshihito Nishioka",
"player2": "Pablo Carre\u00f1o Busta",
"tournament": "Winston Salem",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-08-17T22:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.71,
"utr_ranking": 127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 10.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 94,
"utr_singles": null,
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": null,
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.8173913043478261,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2016373460932461,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -128,
"best_rank_diff": -14,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.293218815539795,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.876811594202891,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.601518026565465,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.89473684210526,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.62318840579711,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.2163272460087526,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.2856756216917944,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.5432817337461273,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.886018747057392,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.5467351015108903,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4552524575195105,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": -20.000000000000004,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.205000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8083832335329342,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.711764705882353,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47619047619047616,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.60850682054069,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.30954050119378,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.672222632536018,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06701518026565467,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10794736842105257,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_p2": 0.7894117647058825,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}