Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
Cincinnati | Hard | Final
18 Aug 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jannik … Carlos … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jannik Sinner
Ranking #2
UTR Rating 16.48 Pro
UTR Ranking #1
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 89/95 = 93.7%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 61/75 = 81.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -1.0000
rank_ratio 0.5000
log_rank_ratio -0.6931
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff -550.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10.5693
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 12.1724
surface_matches_ratio 1.2667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 8.0000
surface_wr_p1 93.3019
surface_wr_p2 82.7326
surface_wr_p1_stable 91.9192
surface_wr_p2_stable 79.7468
p1_surface_matches 95.0000
p2_surface_matches 75.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.8737
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3.8509
first_serve_won_diff 4.3082
second_serve_won_diff -0.3269
bp_saved_diff 10.8283
bp_converted_diff 1.0345
aces_per_match_diff 0.8975
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 5.0000
match_load_p2 5.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1.0000
h2h_matches 3.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.3333
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.3508
h2h_confidence_score 0.2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.1045
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.3579
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.9000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5238
serve_consistency_p1 1.7619
serve_consistency_p2 5.2617
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7.3261
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.4340
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.3263
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.0600
utr_p1 0.9976
utr_p2 0.9906
utr_advantage 0.3647
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 8063
API ID 14316326
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Cincinnati
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8063,
    "api_id": 14316326,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jannik Sinner",
    "player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "tournament": "Cincinnati",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-08-18T19:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface_total": 95,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "wr_surface": 81.33333333333333,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 8,
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 91.91919191919192,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 79.74683544303798,
    "p1_surface_matches": 95,
    "p2_surface_matches": 75,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.8736842105263158,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 3.8509366132806804,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
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    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1044973544973544,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3578732106339468,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.9,
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    "serve_consistency_p1": 1.761904761904765,
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    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
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    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
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    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
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    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
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}