Patrick Maloney vs Elias Ymer
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
18 Aug 2025, 20:10
18 Aug 2025, 20:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Patrick … | Elias … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Patrick Maloney
Ranking
#361
UTR Rating
13.84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#457
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
17/33 = 51.5%
Elias Ymer
Ranking
#173
UTR Rating
14.14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#305
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
31/63 = 49.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -188.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4792 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.7356 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -199.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -214.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5.2605 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2.0976 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.5238 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50.8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56.1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51.3514 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49.2537 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 63.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.8017 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.0559 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.8101 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.1693 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11.0235 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.5433 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42.8571 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -9.1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6.3286 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 141.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 17.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.9938 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3.8696 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1968 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1266 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.6871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7224 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.1444 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8114
API ID
14466735
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8114,
"api_id": 14466735,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Patrick Maloney",
"player2": "Elias Ymer",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-18T20:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 361,
"utr_singles": 13.84,
"utr_ranking": 457,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.515151515151516,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 173,
"utr_singles": 14.14,
"utr_ranking": 305,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 49.2063492063492,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 63,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.84,
"ranking": 457,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.14,
"ranking": 305,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -188,
"rank_ratio": 0.4792243767313019,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.735586363835102,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -199,
"best_rank_diff": -214,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.260504201680675,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.0976200080677643,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5238095238095238,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.88235294117647,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.142857142857146,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.25373134328358,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 63,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.030303030303030304,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.8016630252100825,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.055932773109234,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.8101092436974753,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.1693109243697606,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.023504201680666,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.5432983193277305,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"momentum_diff": -9.142857142857139,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.328571428571443,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 141,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 17,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.993832036187257,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.8695551576535636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19682352941176462,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12657142857142845,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3000000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.6870588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.7223529411764706,
"utr_advantage": -2.1443888491779894,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}