Mackenzie McDonald vs Luciano Darderi
Winston Salem | Hard | Round of 32
19 Aug 2025, 20:40
19 Aug 2025, 20:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mackenzie … | Luciano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14.86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
42/74 = 56.8%
Luciano Darderi
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
15.29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
8/35 = 22.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -86.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2321 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.4604 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1050.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30.7428 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 30.7692 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2.1143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55.7428 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56.4103 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 25.6410 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1351 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.5901 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.2511 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.9637 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.3370 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.3550 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.1768 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11.5300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.5725 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7251 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4643 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4211 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.2974 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.4766 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -44.8968 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1434 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.3360 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8576 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.8524 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8163
API ID
14428731
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Winston Salem
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8163,
"api_id": 14428731,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"player2": "Luciano Darderi",
"tournament": "Winston Salem",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-19T20:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 112,
"utr_singles": 14.86,
"utr_ranking": 110,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
"wr_surface_wins": 42,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 15.29,
"utr_ranking": 81,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 22.857142857142858,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.86,
"ranking": 110,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.29,
"ranking": 81,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -86,
"rank_ratio": 0.23214285714285715,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.4604023332736125,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1050,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"surface_wr_diff": 30.742793791574286,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 30.76923076923077,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.1142857142857143,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.742793791574286,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.41025641025641,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 25.64102564102564,
"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13513513513513514,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.5900868070953464,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.2511363636363626,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.9636518847006528,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.33703880266075,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.354964523281595,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1768070953436807,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": -11.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.530000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5725190839694656,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7251461988304093,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4642857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42105263157894735,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.297445340035358,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.476572137865569,
"surface_rank_synergy": -44.89684778456461,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14342793791574282,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.33599999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.4299999999999997,
"utr_p1": 0.8070588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.8576470588235293,
"utr_advantage": -2.8524046434494177,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}