Botic Van de Zandschulp vs Matteo Arnaldi
Winston Salem | Hard | Round of 32
19 Aug 2025, 21:55
19 Aug 2025, 21:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Botic … | Matteo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
15.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#90
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
28/60 = 46.7%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
33/65 = 50.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -16.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.7922 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.2329 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -127.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2.6042 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.8496 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9231 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47.2727 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49.8769 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46.8750 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.7246 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.5372 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.3540 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.0017 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.6961 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5.1951 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.9803 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 48.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 34.7900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 12.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6368 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3600 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6897 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.7821 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.2085 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.6066 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0113 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0172 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8729 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.5028 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8164
API ID
14428717
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Winston Salem
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player2": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"tournament": "Winston Salem",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-19T21:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
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"player_stats": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 65,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.537150252525258,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.35395833333335247,
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"bp_saved_diff": 0.6960606060606196,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.19512626262626,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9803345959595955,
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"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
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"momentum_diff": 48.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 34.790000000000006,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
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"match_load_p1": 1,
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"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6367713004484304,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7625,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.36,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 6.782146685558791,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.2085173873438193,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6065925981259713,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.011272727272727323,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01723106060606061,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
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"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
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"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
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"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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