Botic Van de Zandschulp vs Matteo Arnaldi
Winston Salem | Hard | Round of 32
20 Ago 2025, 01:55
20 Ago 2025, 01:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Botic … | Matteo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Ranking
#75
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1431 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -99,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,6042 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,8496 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9231 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,2727 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,8769 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,8750 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,7246 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 65,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,5372 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3540 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,0017 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,6961 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,1951 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9803 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 38,4200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 12,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6368 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3600 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6897 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,7821 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,2085 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3727 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0173 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0112 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8424 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,4628 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8164
API ID
14428717
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Winston Salem
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 14428717,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Botic Van de Zandschulp",
"player2": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"tournament": "Winston Salem",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-08-19T21:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.09,
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"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
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"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
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"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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"utr": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": -99,
"best_rank_diff": 8,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.6041666666666714,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.875,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.72463768115942,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 65,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.537150252525258,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.35395833333335247,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.0016603535353497,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.6960606060606196,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.19512626262626,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9803345959595955,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"momentum_diff": 48.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 38.42000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6367713004484304,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7625,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.36,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6896551724137931,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.782146685558791,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.2085173873438193,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.3726584469809207,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01727272727272733,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.011231060606060606,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.07000000000000028,
"utr_p1": 0.8341176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.8423529411764706,
"utr_advantage": -0.46280991735537375,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}