Jan Choinski vs Andrea Collarini
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
19 Aug 2025, 15:00
19 Aug 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jan … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan Choinski
Ranking
#125
UTR Rating
14.61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#147
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
13/35 = 37.1%
Andrea Collarini
Ranking
#242
UTR Rating
14.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#284
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
1/5 = 20.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 117.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.9360 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.6606 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 264.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 52.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16.3112 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4.0855 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33.8112 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 17.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38.4615 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44.4404 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.2571 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.7268 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.2875 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5.7501 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.3085 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 19.5411 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.0710 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7.9850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 57.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 35.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8493 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.3860 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.7979 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10.7756 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2789 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.2080 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 16.3112 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7282 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.9167 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8183
API ID
14476661
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8183,
"api_id": 14476661,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jan Choinski",
"player2": "Andrea Collarini",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-19T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 125,
"utr_singles": 14.61,
"utr_ranking": 147,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.142857142857146,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 242,
"utr_singles": 14.19,
"utr_ranking": 284,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 20.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 147,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.936,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6606239888543852,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 264,
"best_rank_diff": 52,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.311188811188813,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.085540768430109,
"surface_matches_ratio": 7.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.81118881118881,
"surface_wr_p2": 17.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.46153846153847,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44037861046058,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2571428571428571,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.7268041958042062,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.28748251748253,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.750069930069927,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.30853146853147,
"bp_converted_diff": 19.541118881118877,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.070979020979021,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.984999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 57,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 35,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8493150684931506,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.386008287573699,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.797896374282224,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.775562615404572,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.27888811188811186,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20800000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 16.311188811188813,
"utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.7776470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.728235294117647,
"utr_advantage": 2.9166666666666665,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}