Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jurij Rodionov
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
19 Ago 2025, 19:00
19 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Shintaro … | Jurij … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#150
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/43 = 60,5%
Jurij Rodionov
Ranking
#167
UTR Rating
14,34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#223
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
43% (7p)
WR Hard
19/32 = 59,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 55,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4911 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3995 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 199,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,2444 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,9478 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,8970 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,1414 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,8090 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,7568 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 85,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 70,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,6208 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,2181 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,9612 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,2607 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,4239 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,9617 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,1500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7388 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3810 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5357 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,7197 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,2874 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,8966 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0040 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1364 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7459 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,6598 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8186
API ID
14466737
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8186,
"api_id": 14466737,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
"player2": "Jurij Rodionov",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-19T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 112,
"utr_singles": 14.58,
"utr_ranking": 150,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.46511627906976,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 167,
"utr_singles": 14.34,
"utr_ranking": 223,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.375,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.58,
"ranking": 150,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 223,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.4910714285714286,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.39949494112166056,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 199,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.2444374016436583,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.9477679927118174,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2142857142857142,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.8970099667774,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.141447368421055,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.80898876404494,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"p1_surface_matches": 85,
"p2_surface_matches": 70,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.620797019802403,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.2180997552019477,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.9611605503584357,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.2607076739814644,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.4238998841580752,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.961699488546949,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"momentum_diff": 6.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.1500000000000057,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7388059701492538,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38095238095238093,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5357142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.719689629913497,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.287376774824386,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.8966413876208861,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.003970099667774063,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13641447368421045,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
"utr_p1": 0.7741176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.7458823529411764,
"utr_advantage": 1.6597510373443998,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}