Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jurij Rodionov
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
19 Aug 2025, 15:00
19 Aug 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Shintaro … | Jurij … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking
#100
UTR Rating
14.64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#139
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
45/85 = 52.9%
Jurij Rodionov
Ranking
#178
UTR Rating
14.33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#222
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
43% (7p)
WR Hard
40/70 = 57.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 78.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.7800 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.5766 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 318.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2.2444 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.9478 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.2143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55.8970 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58.1414 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52.8090 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56.7568 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 85.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 70.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5.6208 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.2181 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.9612 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3.2607 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.4239 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.9617 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3.1500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7388 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3810 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5357 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.7197 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.2874 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.2942 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0190 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1594 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -2.2444 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7812 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7447 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.1401 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8186
API ID
14466737
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8186,
"api_id": 14466737,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
"player2": "Jurij Rodionov",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-19T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 100,
"utr_singles": 14.64,
"utr_ranking": 139,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 45,
"wr_surface_total": 85,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 178,
"utr_singles": 14.33,
"utr_ranking": 222,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 40,
"wr_surface_total": 70,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 139,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 222,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.78,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5766133643039938,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 318,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.2444374016436583,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.9477679927118174,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2142857142857142,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 58.141447368421055,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"p1_surface_matches": 85,
"p2_surface_matches": 70,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.620797019802403,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.2180997552019477,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.9611605503584357,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.2607076739814644,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.4238998841580752,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.961699488546949,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"momentum_diff": 6.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.1500000000000057,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7388059701492538,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.38095238095238093,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5357142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.719689629913497,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.287376774824386,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.294172601131464,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01902990033222607,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15941447368421058,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -2.2444374016436583,
"utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
"utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_advantage": 2.1401449775629997,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}