Lukas Neumayer vs Ignacio Buse
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
20 Ago 2025, 02:40
20 Ago 2025, 02:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lukas … | Ignacio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lukas Neumayer
Ranking
#226
UTR Rating
14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#213
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
44% (9p)
WR Hard
3/11 = 27,3%
Ignacio Buse
Ranking
#100
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#148
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
4/11 = 36,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -126,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4425 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8154 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -376,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -58,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,2727 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,9651 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5455 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 34,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 36,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38,0952 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2941 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,9302 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,7464 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 12,9173 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,5073 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 16,3636 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0909 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,5350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0818 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4870 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,8531 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0331 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2624 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,5889 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8208
API ID
14466738
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8208,
"api_id": 14466738,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lukas Neumayer",
"player2": "Ignacio Buse",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-19T22:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 226,
"utr_singles": 14.36,
"utr_ranking": 213,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 27.27272727272727,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 100,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 148,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.36,
"ranking": 213,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.59,
"ranking": 148,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.4424778761061947,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8153648132841944,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -376,
"best_rank_diff": -58,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.2727272727272805,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.9650793650793651,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5454545454545454,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 34.090909090909086,
"surface_wr_p2": 36.36363636363637,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.095238095238095,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.29411764705882354,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.5066666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.930181818181822,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.7463636363636397,
"second_serve_won_diff": 12.917272727272724,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.5072727272727207,
"bp_converted_diff": 16.363636363636356,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.09090909090909127,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.534999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 28,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 28,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.0817542333724415,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.487033411445707,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.8531018483731754,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.033090909090909115,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.26236363636363635,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.23000000000000043,
"utr_p1": 0.748235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_advantage": -1.5889464594127836,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}