Jule Niemeier vs Daria Saville
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
19 Ago 2025, 19:00
19 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jule … | Daria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jule Niemeier
Ranking
#252
UTR Rating
11,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#294
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
5/15 = 33,3%
Daria Saville
Ranking
#198
UTR Rating
11,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#227
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/20 = 45,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -54,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2412 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -82,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -41,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,3188 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,1429 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,6812 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1579 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,4210 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,1607 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,1683 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,8748 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,2454 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6956 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19,3510 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 27,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 56,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5251 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6308 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3867 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,6429 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,4885 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0692 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0740 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4035 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4188 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1309 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8211
API ID
14466837
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8211,
"api_id": 14466837,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jule Niemeier",
"player2": "Daria Saville",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-19T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 252,
"utr_singles": 11.43,
"utr_ranking": 294,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 198,
"utr_singles": 11.56,
"utr_ranking": 227,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.43,
"ranking": 294,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.56,
"ranking": 227,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.7857142857142857,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2411620568168881,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -82,
"best_rank_diff": -41,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.318840579710148,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.142857142857146,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.95,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.68115942028985,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15789473684210525,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.4209905797101499,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.16066666666666407,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.16834057971014005,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.8748478260869632,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.24537681159420544,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6955797101449273,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": -22.000000000000004,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.351000000000013,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 27,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 56,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5251396648044693,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6307692307692307,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.386707980387735,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.6429042070477573,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.4885128181684695,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06918840579710145,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07400000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.13000000000000078,
"utr_p1": 0.40352941176470586,
"utr_p2": 0.41882352941176476,
"utr_advantage": -1.1309264897781712,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}