Heather Watson vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
19 Aug 2025, 19:05
19 Aug 2025, 19:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Heather … | Ekaterine … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Heather Watson
Ranking
#267
UTR Rating
11.68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#185
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41.4%
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
11.59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#207
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -88.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.6704 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.3999 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -126.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 70.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8.2121 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0.8119 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4.1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38.7879 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42.4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43.6182 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6.3217 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 11.2600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7.0700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3.2100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.3700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.4064 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19.8040 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 14.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 34.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.6693 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.5822 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3.2837 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0241 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1180 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4224 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.7735 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8227
API ID
14466854
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8227,
"api_id": 14466854,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Heather Watson",
"player2": "Ekaterine Gorgodze",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-19T19:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 185,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.59,
"utr_ranking": 207,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": -126,
"best_rank_diff": 70,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.212121212121211,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 4.142857142857143,
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"surface_wr_p2": 47.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.61818181818182,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.6799999999999999,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.321727272727273,
"first_serve_won_diff": 11.259999999999998,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.069999999999993,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.2099999999999937,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.3699999999999974,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4063636363636365,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.804,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 34,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.669297722744181,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.582229514296829,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.2837222134431214,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.024121212121212154,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.118,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
"utr_p1": 0.4329411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.4223529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 0.7735281478298226,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}