Justina Mikulskyte vs Kyoka Okamura
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
19 Aug 2025, 20:30
19 Aug 2025, 20:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Justina … | Kyoka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Justina Mikulskyte
Ranking
#218
UTR Rating
11.17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#374
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
38% (8p)
WR Hard
4/9 = 44.4%
Kyoka Okamura
Ranking
#266
UTR Rating
11.25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#350
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/21 = 42.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 48.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.2202 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.1990 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 67.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -20.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7.8571 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.7838 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.4286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47.8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45.3996 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6.2460 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.0700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 13.1400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -22.6200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.1900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.8845 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13.3200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 41.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 19.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.6801 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.4881 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.5636 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0694 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0520 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.3729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.3824 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.7136 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8229
API ID
14466826
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8229,
"api_id": 14466826,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Justina Mikulskyte",
"player2": "Kyoka Okamura",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-08-19T20:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.17,
"utr_ranking": 374,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 37.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 266,
"utr_singles": 11.25,
"utr_ranking": 350,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 374,
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.19900124599261007,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 67,
"best_rank_diff": -20,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.7837606837606824,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.42857142857142855,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.39957264957265,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"combined_confidence": 0.5599999999999999,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.24604761904763,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.0699999999999932,
"second_serve_won_diff": 13.140000000000008,
"bp_saved_diff": -22.619999999999997,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.1899999999999977,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8845238095238095,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": -20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.320000000000007,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 41,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 19,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.680061373568997,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.488073152376566,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.5635812185133642,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0694285714285715,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.051999999999999935,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.3729411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.38235294117647056,
"utr_advantage": -0.7136485280999113,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}