Jack Draper vs Mariano Navone
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
13 Ene 2025, 08:40
13 Ene 2025, 08:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jack … | Mariano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jack Draper
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
15,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
14/17 = 82,4%
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
5/17 = 29,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 63,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,7273 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,9062 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2230,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 51,7113 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 43,8424 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7419 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 78,7281 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 27,0168 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,4138 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 28,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 54,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4815 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14,9918 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,5694 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,5451 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,1424 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,5227 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,0718 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| momentum_diff | 16,6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,1667 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1203 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6602 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5294 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,3965 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 98,5706 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2243 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1668 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 103,4227 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8059 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,8293 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
825
API ID
13314105
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 825,
"api_id": 13314105,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jack Draper",
"player2": "Mariano Navone",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-13T04:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.9,
"utr_ranking": 6,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 82.35294117647058,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 14.85,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 29.411764705882355,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 6,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 104,
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 1.9061698204057993,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 2230,
"best_rank_diff": 25,
"surface_wr_diff": 51.71133318192141,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 43.8423645320197,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7419354838709677,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 78.72813990461049,
"surface_wr_p2": 27.016806722689076,
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"p1_surface_matches": 54,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.48148148148148145,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.991840222575519,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.569420849420851,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.5450772200772107,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.14235521235522,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.52272200772201,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.071803315920962,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"momentum_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.166666666666671,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1202672605790647,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6601941747572816,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.396499456759577,
"surface_rank_synergy": 98.57058268432759,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2242813990461049,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.16683193277310931,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 103.42266636384282,
"utr_diff": 1.0500000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.9294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.8058823529411764,
"utr_advantage": 6.829268292682931,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}