Jack Draper vs Mariano Navone
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
13 Jan 2025, 04:40
13 Jan 2025, 04:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jack … | Mariano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jack Draper
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
16.14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
40/54 = 74.1%
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#72
UTR Rating
15.34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
8/31 = 25.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 62.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7.2000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.9741 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3.0000 | |
| points_diff | 2205.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 51.7113 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 43.8424 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.7419 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 78.7281 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 27.0168 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72.4138 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 28.5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 54.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4815 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14.9918 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7.5694 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.5451 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8.1424 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9.5227 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5.0718 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 33.3333 | |
| momentum_diff | 16.6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9.1667 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1203 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6602 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5294 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.3965 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 102.0824 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2253 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1678 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 155.1340 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.8000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8635 | |
| utr_advantage | 5.0826 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
825
API ID
13314105
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 825,
"api_id": 13314105,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jack Draper",
"player2": "Mariano Navone",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-01-13T04:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 16.14,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.07407407407408,
"wr_surface_wins": 40,
"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 72,
"utr_singles": 15.34,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.806451612903224,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 16.14,
"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.34,
"ranking": 75,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 62,
"rank_ratio": 7.2,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.9740810260220096,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 2205,
"best_rank_diff": 25,
"surface_wr_diff": 51.71133318192141,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 43.8423645320197,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7419354838709677,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 78.72813990461049,
"surface_wr_p2": 27.016806722689076,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.41379310344827,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 28.57142857142857,
"p1_surface_matches": 54,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.48148148148148145,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.991840222575519,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.569420849420851,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.5450772200772107,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.14235521235522,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.52272200772201,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.071803315920962,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"momentum_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.166666666666671,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1202672605790647,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6601941747572816,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.396499456759577,
"surface_rank_synergy": 102.08236166473341,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22528139904610478,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1678319327731092,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 155.13399954576423,
"utr_diff": 0.8000000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.9576470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.8635294117647059,
"utr_advantage": 5.082592121982215,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}