Donna Vekić vs Elise Mertens
Monterrey | Hard | Round of 16
20 Aug 2025, 21:00
20 Aug 2025, 21:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Donna … | Elise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking
#70
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
20/43 = 46.5%
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
34/62 = 54.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -50.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2857 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.2528 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1034.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13.5278 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7.7369 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6935 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41.4565 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.9843 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46.8085 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 43.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0698 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4.9273 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.1820 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.1464 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.8997 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6.2957 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.9462 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9.6900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8860 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7063 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.2857 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.1474 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.0380 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 16.9471 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0354 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0002 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5212 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8251
API ID
14427821
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Monterrey
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 8251,
"api_id": 14427821,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
"player2": "Elise Mertens",
"tournament": "Monterrey",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-08-20T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": null,
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"wr_surface": 46.51162790697674,
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"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1034,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
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"p1_surface_matches": 43,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06976744186046512,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.92727831538776,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.181976284584991,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.1463636363636454,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.8996837944664122,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.295731225296443,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.94619054109309,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.689999999999998,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8859934853420195,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7063492063492064,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.147364877407865,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.038015691741334,
"surface_rank_synergy": 16.947132246634165,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03543478260869559,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.00015673981191244302,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}