Donna Vekić vs Elise Mertens
Monterrey | Hard | Round of 16
21 Ago 2025, 01:00
21 Ago 2025, 01:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Donna … | Elise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking
#72
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
7/20 = 35,0%
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
12,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -51,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2917 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2321 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1021,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,5278 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,7369 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6935 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,4565 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,9843 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,8085 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0698 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,9273 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,1820 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,1464 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,8997 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,2957 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9462 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10,6900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8860 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7063 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2857 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1474 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,0380 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 16,6682 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0344 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0012 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5235 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5235 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8251
API ID
14427821
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Monterrey
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8251,
"api_id": 14427821,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
"player2": "Elise Mertens",
"tournament": "Monterrey",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-08-20T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 72,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 12.45,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.45,
"ranking": 27,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.2916666666666667,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2321436812926323,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -1021,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.527804279678328,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.736943907156665,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6935483870967742,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.45652173913044,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.984326018808765,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.808510638297875,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"p1_surface_matches": 43,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06976744186046512,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.92727831538776,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.181976284584991,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.1463636363636454,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.8996837944664122,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.295731225296443,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.94619054109309,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.689999999999998,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8859934853420195,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7063492063492064,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.147364877407865,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.038015691741334,
"surface_rank_synergy": 16.66819856496908,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03443478260869559,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.001156739811912444,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.5235294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.5235294117647058,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}