Diana Shnaider vs Elise Mertens
Monterrey | Hard | Quarterfinals
22 Ago 2025, 01:00
22 Ago 2025, 01:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Diana … | Elise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Diana Shnaider
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
12,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
12,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9545 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0465 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -3,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,0143 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,1829 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2419 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,9986 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,9843 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,7284 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 77,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2468 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,7965 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,3855 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,4836 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,0227 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,2718 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,6245 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -36,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -33,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5111 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8640 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7063 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,2335 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,0380 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,0937 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0710 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0488 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5235 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,1608 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8263
API ID
14427813
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Monterrey
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8263,
"api_id": 14427813,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Diana Shnaider",
"player2": "Elise Mertens",
"tournament": "Monterrey",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-08-21T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 12.45,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.43,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.45,
"ranking": 27,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -1,
"rank_ratio": 0.9545454545454546,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.04652001563489282,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -3,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.0142714566470445,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.182940516273852,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2419354838709677,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.99859747545581,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.984326018808765,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.72839506172839,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"p1_surface_matches": 77,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.24675324675324675,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.7965391849529695,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.38545454545455,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.4836363636363643,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.0227272727272805,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.2718181818181833,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.624451410658307,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -35.99999999999998,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -33.099999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5111117172861954,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.864,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7063492063492064,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.233481428055356,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.038015691741334,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.09370393965613884,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07098597475455815,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0488432601880876,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.019999999999999574,
"utr_p1": 0.5211764705882352,
"utr_p2": 0.5235294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -0.16077170418006087,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}