Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yuta Shimizu
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
21 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Yuta … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking #87
UTR Rating 14,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #134
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 4/12 = 33,3%
Yuta Shimizu
Ranking #346
UTR Rating 13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #394
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (6p)
WR Hard 17/35 = 48,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 259,0000
rank_ratio 3,9770
log_rank_ratio 1,3805
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 555,0000
best_rank_diff 109,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -27,8725
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -18,5576
surface_matches_ratio 0,1553
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 23,3333
surface_wr_p2 51,2059
surface_wr_p1_stable 30,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,2056
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 103,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,7664
first_serve_won_diff 2,2971
second_serve_won_diff 1,9131
bp_saved_diff -2,7841
bp_converted_diff -8,8309
aces_per_match_diff 1,5220
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 8,3240
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 9,3629
serve_consistency_p2 9,6804
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -38,4789
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5257
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2711
elite_surface_amplifier -55,7451
UTR
utr_diff 0,7000
utr_p1 0,7847
utr_p2 0,7024
utr_advantage 4,8883
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 8276
API ID 14486382
Gamdom ID -
Torneo US Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8276,
    "api_id": 14486382,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
    "player2": "Yuta Shimizu",
    "tournament": "US Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2025-08-21T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 14.67,
      "utr_ranking": 134,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 13.97,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
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      "form_l10_matches": 6
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 394,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
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  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
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    "best_rank_diff": 109,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.55763239875389,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.1553398058252427,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 23.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.20588235294117,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.20560747663551,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 103,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.766377450980393,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.2970588235294116,
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    "bp_saved_diff": -2.7840588235294277,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.830852941176474,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.5219607843137255,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.324000000000005,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.362850477865079,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.680413012584458,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -38.47890839366792,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5256666666666667,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": -55.74509803921568,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}