Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yuta Shimizu
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
21 Aug 2025, 15:00
21 Aug 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Yuta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
14.71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#129
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
4/16 = 25.0%
Yuta Shimizu
Ranking
#355
UTR Rating
14.05 Pro
UTR Ranking
#346
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
56/103 = 54.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 270.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4.1765 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.4295 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 569.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 109.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -27.8725 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18.5576 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.1553 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 23.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51.2059 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 30.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.2056 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 103.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.7664 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.2971 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.9131 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.7841 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8.8309 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.5220 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5.9040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.3629 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.6804 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -39.8429 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5367 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2821 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -55.7451 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.6600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7118 | |
| utr_advantage | 4.5897 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8276
API ID
14486382
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8276,
"api_id": 14486382,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
"player2": "Yuta Shimizu",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2025-08-21T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 14.71,
"utr_ranking": 129,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 355,
"utr_singles": 14.05,
"utr_ranking": 346,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.36893203883495,
"wr_surface_wins": 56,
"wr_surface_total": 103,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 129,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 346,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 4.176470588235294,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.4294665329850995,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 569,
"best_rank_diff": 109,
"surface_wr_diff": -27.87254901960784,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.55763239875389,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1553398058252427,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 23.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.20588235294117,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.20560747663551,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 103,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.766377450980393,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.2970588235294116,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.9130882352941185,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.7840588235294277,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.830852941176474,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.5219607843137255,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.9040000000000035,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.362850477865079,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.680413012584458,
"surface_rank_synergy": -39.84287601251605,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5366666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2820588235294117,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -55.74509803921568,
"utr_diff": 0.6600000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.7894117647058825,
"utr_p2": 0.7117647058823531,
"utr_advantage": 4.58970792767733,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}