Cristian Garin vs Marco Trungelliti
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
21 Ago 2025, 21:05
21 Ago 2025, 21:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cristian … | Marco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristian Garin
Ranking
#82
UTR Rating
14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#103
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Marco Trungelliti
Ranking
#130
UTR Rating
14,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#180
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/9 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 48,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5854 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4608 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 258,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 95,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,4707 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,4722 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5882 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,1818 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,7111 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,8333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,6416 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,8618 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,8825 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,2970 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,3771 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3270 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,4400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6949 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1555 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,0600 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6777 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0662 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0151 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 1,4707 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7624 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,5903 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8284
API ID
14475167
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8284,
"api_id": 14475167,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Cristian Garin",
"player2": "Marco Trungelliti",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2025-08-21T17:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 82,
"utr_singles": 14.86,
"utr_ranking": 103,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 130,
"utr_singles": 14.48,
"utr_ranking": 180,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.86,
"ranking": 103,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.48,
"ranking": 180,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 48,
"rank_ratio": 1.5853658536585367,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.46081520319132935,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 258,
"best_rank_diff": 95,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.4707070707070642,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.472222222222226,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5882352941176471,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.18181818181817,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.71111111111111,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.83333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 34,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.641610505050508,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.86182222222223,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.882533333333342,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.29702222222223185,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.377111111111113,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3270303030303028,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.440000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6949152542372882,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.155545662205194,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.05997660224877,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6777241776228006,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06618181818181834,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.01511111111111113,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 1.4707070707070642,
"utr_diff": 0.379999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.8070588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.7623529411764707,
"utr_advantage": 2.5903203817314178,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}