Jesper De Jong vs Harold Mayot
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
21 Ago 2025, 22:25
21 Ago 2025, 22:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jesper … | Harold … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
14,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
11/22 = 50,0%
Harold Mayot
Ranking
#159
UTR Rating
14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#190
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/34 = 52,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 86,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,1781 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7784 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 383,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 32,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,4739 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,0558 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5402 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,4739 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,9020 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,8462 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1064 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,4305 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,4926 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0869 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,9850 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,8637 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3551 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,8850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5517 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4063 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2452 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,6424 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,3689 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0560 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1207 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -0,4739 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8200 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7553 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,7428 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8293
API ID
14475161
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8293,
"api_id": 14475161,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jesper De Jong",
"player2": "Harold Mayot",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2025-08-21T18:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 14.97,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 159,
"utr_singles": 14.42,
"utr_ranking": 190,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.97,
"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.42,
"ranking": 190,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.1780821917808217,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7784447610718404,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 383,
"best_rank_diff": 32,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.473917869034409,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.0558069381598827,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5402298850574713,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.47391786903441,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.90196078431373,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.84615384615385,
"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10638297872340426,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.43048941983654,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.492586681465028,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.08694603975380488,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.9850073050146193,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.8637303803854266,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.355139945515085,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.884999999999991,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5517241379310345,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.40625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.245241782962449,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.642448723875475,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.3689188823281663,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05600000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12073917869034412,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.473917869034409,
"utr_diff": 0.5500000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.8200000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.7552941176470588,
"utr_advantage": 3.742769649540665,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}