Varvara Gracheva vs Tara Würth
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
21 Ago 2025, 21:50
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Varvara … Tara … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Varvara Gracheva
Ranking #77
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Tara Würth
Ranking #235
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 158,0000
rank_ratio 3,0519
log_rank_ratio 1,1158
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 577,0000
best_rank_diff 106,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,3750
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,3185
surface_matches_ratio 10,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,3750
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 49,5385
p1_surface_matches 62,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,9488
first_serve_won_diff 4,8821
second_serve_won_diff -1,8660
bp_saved_diff 8,0499
bp_converted_diff -13,1174
aces_per_match_diff 1,5338
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 28,2700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4595
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5455
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0082
serve_consistency_p2 7,7864
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,6500
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1342
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1580
elite_surface_amplifier 4,7500
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4800
utr_p2 0,4800
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 8324
API ID 14476763
Gamdom ID -
Torneo US Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8324,
    "api_id": 14476763,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Varvara Gracheva",
    "player2": "Tara W\u00fcrth",
    "tournament": "US Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2025-08-21T17:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 12.08,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 235,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  "utr": {
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      "division": null,
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    "best_rank_diff": 106,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.375,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.3184615384615373,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 10.333333333333334,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.375,
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.53846153846154,
    "p1_surface_matches": 62,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.948762500000008,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.882124999999995,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.8659999999999926,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.049937499999992,
    "bp_converted_diff": -13.117437500000001,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.53375,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 28.27000000000001,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4594594594594595,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.00822053184452,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.786394049232067,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.649977719189878,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13424999999999987,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15799999999999992,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.75,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
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    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
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    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
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    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}