Mai Hontama vs Rebecca Marino
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
22 Ago 2025, 01:10
22 Ago 2025, 01:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mai … | Rebecca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mai Hontama
Ranking
#244
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#312
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Rebecca Marino
Ranking
#201
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#208
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/24 = 45,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -43,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8238 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1939 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -62,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -67,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,2186 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,5638 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9636 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45,2196 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,4382 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,3684 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,9322 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 53,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0566 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -20,1325 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11,2006 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,0761 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,3358 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,5471 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,8047 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,5690 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6222 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5517 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5882 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6791 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 22,9495 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,2056 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0048 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0286 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4247 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,0009 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8331
API ID
14477280
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8331,
"api_id": 14477280,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mai Hontama",
"player2": "Rebecca Marino",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2025-08-21T21:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 244,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 312,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 201,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 208,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.83333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 312,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.61,
"ranking": 208,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.8237704918032787,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.19386331723412614,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -62,
"best_rank_diff": -67,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.218577448416163,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.56378233719893,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9636363636363636,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.21959459459459,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.43817204301075,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.368421052631575,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.932203389830505,
"p1_surface_matches": 53,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.05660377358490566,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -20.132500871839568,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.200645161290318,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.0761290322580663,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.3358064516128962,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.547096774193541,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.8046697907585,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.569000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6222222222222222,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5517241379310345,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5882352941176471,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.679148076560911,
"serve_consistency_p2": 22.949489402822216,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.2055540526272852,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.004804054054054041,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02861827956989249,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.22999999999999865,
"utr_p1": 0.3976470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.4247058823529411,
"utr_advantage": -2.000869943453664,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}