Carol Zhao vs Lucrezia Stefanini
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
22 Ago 2025, 02:15
22 Ago 2025, 02:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Carol … | Lucrezia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carol Zhao
Ranking
#325
UTR Rating
11,22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#381
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
1/5 = 20,0%
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking
#139
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#209
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/23 = 47,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -186,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4277 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8494 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -320,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -32,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -24,5497 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,4374 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6047 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,9783 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,0638 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3077 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,0836 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,4624 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,6134 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,4573 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,6495 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7654 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,2100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1587 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,9333 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20,8513 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0597 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1862 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4247 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,4166 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8335
API ID
14486278
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8335,
"api_id": 14486278,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Carol Zhao",
"player2": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2025-08-21T22:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 325,
"utr_singles": 11.22,
"utr_ranking": 381,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 20.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 139,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 209,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.82608695652174,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.22,
"ranking": 381,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 209,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.4276923076923077,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8493512491990457,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -320,
"best_rank_diff": -32,
"surface_wr_diff": -24.549689440993788,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.437352245862886,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6046511627906976,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 25.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2": 49.97826086956522,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.06382978723404,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 43,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3076923076923077,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.0835807453416137,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.46236024844720447,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.613385093167693,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.45728260869565,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.6495186335403815,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7653726708074535,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -20.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.210000000000008,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.1586953674732845,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.933292775645041,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.851309394156697,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.059714285714285664,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1862173913043479,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3899999999999988,
"utr_p1": 0.3788235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.4247058823529411,
"utr_advantage": -3.4165571616294246,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}