Carol Zhao vs Lucrezia Stefanini
US Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
21 Aug 2025, 22:15
21 Aug 2025, 22:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Carol … | Lucrezia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carol Zhao
Ranking
#323
UTR Rating
11.22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#361
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
9/26 = 34.6%
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
11.65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#188
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
22/42 = 52.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -183.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4334 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.8360 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -327.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -32.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26.0714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14.4734 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6190 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25.4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52.1739 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 42.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.3077 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.6402 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.7112 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.6332 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9.1798 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.7269 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.7529 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14.2100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.1587 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.9333 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21.7960 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0627 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1680 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.3788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4294 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.7604 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8335
API ID
14486278
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8335,
"api_id": 14486278,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Carol Zhao",
"player2": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2025-08-21T22:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 323,
"utr_singles": 11.22,
"utr_ranking": 361,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 34.61538461538461,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 188,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.22,
"ranking": 361,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.65,
"ranking": 188,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -183,
"rank_ratio": 0.43343653250773995,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8360099006133522,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -327,
"best_rank_diff": -32,
"surface_wr_diff": -26.07142857142857,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.473429951690822,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6190476190476191,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 25.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.17391304347826,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 42,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3076923076923077,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.6402012987012995,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.7112337662337609,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.6332467532467518,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.179772727272727,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.7268506493506521,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.752922077922078,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -20.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.210000000000008,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.1586953674732845,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.933292775645041,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.79597240884811,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06271428571428567,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.16800000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.4299999999999997,
"utr_p1": 0.3788235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_advantage": -3.760384783559245,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}