Daniel Merida vs Lloyd Harris
US Open | Hard | Qualification Final
22 Ago 2025, 21:00
22 Ago 2025, 21:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniel … | Lloyd … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniel Merida
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
14,00 General
UTR Ranking
#216
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
10/18 = 55,6%
Lloyd Harris
Ranking
#221
UTR Rating
15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#73
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 57,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3476 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2983 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 97,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -132,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,3889 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,8182 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,0139 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,8182 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -24,5223 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11,5721 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,5700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,3296 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12,2529 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -9,1326 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 71,4286 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,5714 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,1067 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,2787 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,1221 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,4143 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0369 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0632 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 1,3889 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8412 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,8902 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8352
API ID
14507444
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8352,
"api_id": 14507444,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daniel Merida",
"player2": "Lloyd Harris",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-08-22T17:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 14.0,
"utr_ranking": 216,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 221,
"utr_singles": 15.15,
"utr_ranking": 73,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.0,
"ranking": 216,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.15,
"ranking": 73,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.3475609756097562,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.29829627369355444,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 97,
"best_rank_diff": -132,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.3888888888888928,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.81818181818182,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.85,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.013888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.62499999999999,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.81818181818182,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -24.52231944444445,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.572083333333339,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.5700000000000074,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.329583333333332,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.252916666666657,
"aces_per_match_diff": -9.132638888888888,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 71.42857142857143,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -6.571428571428555,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.1067346938775557,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8615384615384616,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.278718552838491,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.122144063095929,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.4143003801299379,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03686111111111112,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06324999999999992,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 1.3888888888888928,
"utr_diff": -1.1500000000000004,
"utr_p1": 0.7058823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.8411764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -7.89022298456261,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}