Francesca Jones vs Arianne Hartono
US Open | Hard | Qualification Final
22 Aug 2025, 15:00
22 Aug 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Francesca … | Arianne … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francesca Jones
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
12.16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#64
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
14/23 = 60.9%
Arianne Hartono
Ranking
#249
UTR Rating
11.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#283
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
19/35 = 54.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 175.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3.3649 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.2134 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 618.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 64.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11.8753 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4.7816 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60.2941 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48.4188 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59.2593 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.8462 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2174 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2.9876 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4.7418 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.6318 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.9812 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.6429 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0636 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14.9700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.3913 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.8571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0980 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.3874 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14.4094 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0721 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1592 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 23.7506 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.7400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4024 | |
| utr_advantage | 6.2765 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
8365
API ID
14506176
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8365,
"api_id": 14506176,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Francesca Jones",
"player2": "Arianne Hartono",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-08-22T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 64,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.86956521739131,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 249,
"utr_singles": 11.42,
"utr_ranking": 283,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.285714285714285,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 64,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 283,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.364864864864865,
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"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 618,
"best_rank_diff": 64,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.875314228255405,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.781576448243108,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6571428571428571,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.29411764705882,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.418803418803414,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.25925925925925,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.84615384615385,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.21739130434782608,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.9875610859728567,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.74176470588236,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.631764705882361,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.981176470588231,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.6429411764705932,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.06357466063348438,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.969999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.391304347826087,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.098039023133444,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.387445417599119,
"surface_rank_synergy": 14.409361444451436,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07205882352941184,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15918803418803418,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 23.75062845651081,
"utr_diff": 0.7400000000000002,
"utr_p1": 0.4894117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.4023529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 6.276505513146737,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}