Francesca Jones vs Arianne Hartono
US Open | Hard | Qualification Final
22 Aug 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Francesca … Arianne … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francesca Jones
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 12.16 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 14/23 = 60.9%
Arianne Hartono
Ranking #249
UTR Rating 11.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #283
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 19/35 = 54.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 175.0000
rank_ratio 3.3649
log_rank_ratio 1.2134
rank_tier_advantage 2.0000
points_diff 618.0000
best_rank_diff 64.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11.8753
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4.7816
surface_matches_ratio 0.6571
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 60.2941
surface_wr_p2 48.4188
surface_wr_p1_stable 59.2593
surface_wr_p2_stable 53.8462
p1_surface_matches 23.0000
p2_surface_matches 35.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.2174
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.7667
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 0.8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2.9876
first_serve_won_diff 4.7418
second_serve_won_diff 1.6318
bp_saved_diff 6.9812
bp_converted_diff 1.6429
aces_per_match_diff 0.0636
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.4000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 78.0000
momentum_diff 22.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14.9700
current_streak_diff 3.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.3913
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.8571
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6667
serve_consistency_p1 10.0980
serve_consistency_p2 4.3874
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 14.4094
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.0721
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1592
elite_surface_amplifier 23.7506
UTR
utr_diff 0.7400
utr_p1 0.4894
utr_p2 0.4024
utr_advantage 6.2765
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 8365
API ID 14506176
Gamdom ID -
Torneo US Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 8365,
    "api_id": 14506176,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Francesca Jones",
    "player2": "Arianne Hartono",
    "tournament": "US Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-08-22T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 64,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.86956521739131,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 249,
      "utr_singles": 11.42,
      "utr_ranking": 283,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.285714285714285,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 64,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.42,
      "ranking": 283,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 175,
    "rank_ratio": 3.364864864864865,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2133878032605379,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 618,
    "best_rank_diff": 64,
    "surface_wr_diff": 11.875314228255405,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.781576448243108,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6571428571428571,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.29411764705882,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.418803418803414,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.25925925925925,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.84615384615385,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.21739130434782608,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.9875610859728567,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.74176470588236,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.631764705882361,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.981176470588231,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.6429411764705932,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.06357466063348438,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 22.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.969999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.391304347826087,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.098039023133444,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.387445417599119,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 14.409361444451436,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07205882352941184,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15918803418803418,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 23.75062845651081,
    "utr_diff": 0.7400000000000002,
    "utr_p1": 0.4894117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.4023529411764706,
    "utr_advantage": 6.276505513146737,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}