Francesca Jones vs Arianne Hartono
US Open | Hard | Qualification Final
22 Ago 2025, 19:00
22 Ago 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Francesca … | Arianne … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francesca Jones
Ranking
#71
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#61
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
11/17 = 64,7%
Arianne Hartono
Ranking
#256
UTR Rating
11,40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#306
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
4/9 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 185,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,6056 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2825 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 671,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 66,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,8753 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,7816 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,2941 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,4188 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,2593 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,8462 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2174 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,9876 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,7418 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,6318 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,9812 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,6429 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0636 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,9700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3913 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0980 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3874 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 15,2301 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0821 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1692 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 23,7506 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,4516 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
8365
API ID
14506176
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
US Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 8365,
"api_id": 14506176,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Francesca Jones",
"player2": "Arianne Hartono",
"tournament": "US Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-08-22T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 71,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 61,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 256,
"utr_singles": 11.4,
"utr_ranking": 306,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.16,
"ranking": 61,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.4,
"ranking": 306,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.6056338028169015,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.282497567438247,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 671,
"best_rank_diff": 66,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.875314228255405,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.781576448243108,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6571428571428571,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.29411764705882,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.418803418803414,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.25925925925925,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.84615384615385,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.21739130434782608,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.9875610859728567,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.74176470588236,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.631764705882361,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.981176470588231,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.6429411764705932,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.06357466063348438,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.969999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.391304347826087,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.098039023133444,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.387445417599119,
"surface_rank_synergy": 15.23006161030236,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08205882352941185,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1691880341880342,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 23.75062845651081,
"utr_diff": 0.7599999999999998,
"utr_p1": 0.4894117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.4,
"utr_advantage": 6.451612903225803,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}